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USD Ragusa vs Sancataldese Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 game between USD Ragusa and Sancataldese finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
USD Ragusa
35%
Draws
46%
Sancataldese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sancataldese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

19% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sancataldese come out ahead of USD Ragusa on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans USD Ragusa's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
USD Ragusa Clean Sheet 68%
Sancataldese Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USD Ragusa Sancataldese
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 6 7
Draws 12 7
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 0.86 0.94
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.72
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs Sancataldese
0:0
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Sancataldese vs USD Ragusa
0:0
Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Sancataldese vs USD Ragusa
1:0
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs Sancataldese
3:2
Feb 18, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Sancataldese vs USD Ragusa
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USD Ragusa 50 / 100
Sancataldese 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USD Ragusa Sancataldese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USD Ragusa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sancataldese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

USD Ragusa found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

USD Ragusa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

USD Ragusa VS Sancataldese
0.5 Goals Scored 0.57
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.57
38% Over 1.5 57%
25% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

USD Ragusa

(Home)
27 Sept
USD Ragusa
0 : 1
Trapani
20 Sept
Licata
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
16 Sept
USD Ragusa
1 : 1
Lamezia
13 Sept
Milazzo
3 : 1
USD Ragusa
06 Sept
USD Ragusa
2 : 2
ASD Modica Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Sancataldese

(Away)
03 May
A.C. Savoia
3 : 0
Sancataldese
26 Apr
Sancataldese
1 : 1
Lamezia
19 Apr
USD Ragusa
0 : 0
Sancataldese
12 Apr
Sancataldese
0 : 1
Gelbison
02 Apr
Vibonese
0 : 2
Sancataldese
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)