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USF Constantine vs Mostaganem

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup 2022/2023
USF Constantine Logo

USF Constantine

2 - 5
FT
Mostaganem Logo

Mostaganem

Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Charef A.
(Penalty)
33' Event
Charef A.
45' Event
Boukhenna M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mostaganem in this Algeria Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 2-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
USF Constantine
22%
Draws
16%
Mostaganem
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: USF Constantine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Mostaganem have won more games recently than USF Constantine.
  • Win probability leans USF Constantine's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Mostaganem arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mostaganem, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
USF Constantine Clean Sheet 68%
Mostaganem Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USF Constantine Mostaganem
Matches Played 4 30
Wins 2 6
Draws 0 5
Losses 2 19
Goals Scored 1.75 0.77
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 16, 2022 Algeria Cup
USF Constantine vs Mostaganem
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USF Constantine Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Mostaganem Compare

Top Goalscorer Boukhenna M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Charef A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USF Constantine 95 / 100
Mostaganem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USF Constantine Mostaganem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USF Constantine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mostaganem has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

USF Constantine's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 4 recent games.

Away concern: Mostaganem has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mostaganem
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

USF Constantine

(Home)
11 Dec
Paradou
2 : 0
USF Constantine
04 Dec
USF Constantine
4 : 2
Metlili Chaamba
16 Dec
USF Constantine
2 : 5
Mostaganem
26 Nov
USF Constantine
1 : 0
Oued Smar

Mostaganem

(Away)
05 Jun
Mostaganem
2 : 2
El Bayadh
19 May
ES Ben Aknoun
3 : 0
Mostaganem
12 May
USM Alger
1 : 1
Mostaganem
07 May
Mostaganem
0 : 4
Saoura
10 Apr
Mostaganem
0 : 3
Khenchela
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Chelghoum 0
ES Setif 6
Saoura 6
Bendaoud 0
Tebessa 2
JS Djijel 3
IB Khemis El Khechna 1
Annaba 2
Paradou 3
WA Mostaganem 2
IRB Nezla 1
Constantine 4
USF Constantine 1
Oued Smar 0
Mostaganem 1
WAB Tissemsilt 0
El Khemis 3
Biskra 2
Kabylie 1
JSM Tiaret 0
Arba 4
Ain Sefra 0
Ghozlane 1
ASO Chlef 2
Oran 1
Olympique Akbou 2
MSP Batna 1
El Bayadh 2
Khenchela 1
Tighenif 0
Maghnia 3
USM Alger 2
CR Zaouia 1
Adrar 0
Amal Bou Saada 1
US Souf 2
MB Hassi Messaoud 1
Bouakeul 0
AE Medea 1
Telaghema 0
SC Mecheria 1
Layoun 0
CR Temouchent 0
Bordj Menail 1
El Milia 2
Touggourt 1
Magra 2
MC Alger 0
JS El Biar 3
ISC Tlemcen 2
Azazga 1
Guir Abadla 0
US Chaouia 2
Hussein Dey 0
CR Belouizdad 3
Eulma 2
Berrouaghia 3
Ain Ouessara 2
ES Besbes 1
Sedrata 0
RCG Oran 2
Khroub 7
MB Barika 3
Bir Bouhouche 0
1/16-finals
ES Setif 0
Saoura 1
JS Djijel 2
Annaba 0
Paradou 2
Constantine 0
USF Constantine 2
Mostaganem 5
El Khemis 2
Kabylie 0
Arba 1
ASO Chlef 2
Olympique Akbou 3
El Bayadh 2
Khenchela 4
Maghnia 0
CR Zaouia 1
US Souf 0
MB Hassi Messaoud 4
AE Medea 1
SC Mecheria 0
Bordj Menail 1
El Milia 1
Magra 2
JS El Biar 3
Azazga 0
US Chaouia 1
CR Belouizdad 2
Berrouaghia 2
ES Besbes 1
Khroub 2
MB Barika 0
1/8-finals
Saoura 2
JS Djijel 0
Paradou 2
Mostaganem 1
El Khemis 0
ASO Chlef 1
Olympique Akbou 3
Khenchela 0
CR Zaouia 1
MB Hassi Messaoud 0
Bordj Menail 1
Magra 3
JS El Biar 0
CR Belouizdad 2
Berrouaghia 0
Khroub 1
Quarter-finals
Saoura 2
Paradou 0
ASO Chlef 1
Olympique Akbou 0
CR Zaouia 0
Magra 1
CR Belouizdad 3
Khroub 0
Semi-finals
Saoura 1
ASO Chlef 3
Magra 0
CR Belouizdad 1
Final
ASO Chlef 2
CR Belouizdad 1