Sport Picks

Stadium Background

USF Constantine vs Oued Smar

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup 2022/2023
USF Constantine Logo

USF Constantine

1 - 0
FT
Oued Smar Logo

Oued Smar

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

USF Constantine in this Algeria Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
USF Constantine
15%
Draws
28%
Oued Smar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USF Constantine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to USF Constantine lately — more wins on the board than Oued Smar.
  • USF Constantine are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • USF Constantine have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor USF Constantine, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
USF Constantine Clean Sheet 16%
Oued Smar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USF Constantine Oued Smar
Matches Played 4 4
Wins 2 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 2 3
Goals Scored 1.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 26, 2022 Algeria Cup
USF Constantine vs Oued Smar
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USF Constantine 36 / 100
Oued Smar 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USF Constantine Oued Smar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: USF Constantine scored in 75% of their last 4 outings.

Oued Smar let in goals in 75% of their last 4 matches.

Oued Smar's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

USF Constantine VS Oued Smar
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

USF Constantine

(Home)
11 Dec
Paradou
2 : 0
USF Constantine
04 Dec
USF Constantine
4 : 2
Metlili Chaamba
16 Dec
USF Constantine
2 : 5
Mostaganem
26 Nov
USF Constantine
1 : 0
Oued Smar

Oued Smar

(Away)
26 Nov
USF Constantine
1 : 0
Oued Smar
26 Nov
Khenchela
1 : 0
Oued Smar
09 Jan
Oued Smar
1 : 2
Tadjenant
18 Dec
Bejaia
0 : 2
Oued Smar

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Chelghoum 0
ES Setif 6
Saoura 6
Bendaoud 0
Tebessa 2
JS Djijel 3
IB Khemis El Khechna 1
Annaba 2
Paradou 3
WA Mostaganem 2
IRB Nezla 1
Constantine 4
USF Constantine 1
Oued Smar 0
Mostaganem 1
WAB Tissemsilt 0
El Khemis 3
Biskra 2
Kabylie 1
JSM Tiaret 0
Arba 4
Ain Sefra 0
Ghozlane 1
ASO Chlef 2
Oran 1
Olympique Akbou 2
MSP Batna 1
El Bayadh 2
Khenchela 1
Tighenif 0
Maghnia 3
USM Alger 2
CR Zaouia 1
Adrar 0
Amal Bou Saada 1
US Souf 2
MB Hassi Messaoud 1
Bouakeul 0
AE Medea 1
Telaghema 0
SC Mecheria 1
Layoun 0
CR Temouchent 0
Bordj Menail 1
El Milia 2
Touggourt 1
Magra 2
MC Alger 0
JS El Biar 3
ISC Tlemcen 2
Azazga 1
Guir Abadla 0
US Chaouia 2
Hussein Dey 0
CR Belouizdad 3
Eulma 2
Berrouaghia 3
Ain Ouessara 2
ES Besbes 1
Sedrata 0
RCG Oran 2
Khroub 7
MB Barika 3
Bir Bouhouche 0
1/16-finals
ES Setif 0
Saoura 1
JS Djijel 2
Annaba 0
Paradou 2
Constantine 0
USF Constantine 2
Mostaganem 5
El Khemis 2
Kabylie 0
Arba 1
ASO Chlef 2
Olympique Akbou 3
El Bayadh 2
Khenchela 4
Maghnia 0
CR Zaouia 1
US Souf 0
MB Hassi Messaoud 4
AE Medea 1
SC Mecheria 0
Bordj Menail 1
El Milia 1
Magra 2
JS El Biar 3
Azazga 0
US Chaouia 1
CR Belouizdad 2
Berrouaghia 2
ES Besbes 1
Khroub 2
MB Barika 0
1/8-finals
Saoura 2
JS Djijel 0
Paradou 2
Mostaganem 1
El Khemis 0
ASO Chlef 1
Olympique Akbou 3
Khenchela 0
CR Zaouia 1
MB Hassi Messaoud 0
Bordj Menail 1
Magra 3
JS El Biar 0
CR Belouizdad 2
Berrouaghia 0
Khroub 1
Quarter-finals
Saoura 2
Paradou 0
ASO Chlef 1
Olympique Akbou 0
CR Zaouia 0
Magra 1
CR Belouizdad 3
Khroub 0
Semi-finals
Saoura 1
ASO Chlef 3
Magra 0
CR Belouizdad 1
Final
ASO Chlef 2
CR Belouizdad 1