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USFA vs AS Douanes

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League Stade de l'USFA, Ouagadougou
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Guel M.
Assist: Kone V.
51' Event
Ouattara J.
Assist: Zoungrana M.
52' Event
Banao D.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between USFA and AS Douanes finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
USFA
30%
Draws
33%
AS Douanes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: USFA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • USFA carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans USFA's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
USFA Clean Sheet 68%
AS Douanes Clean Sheet 22%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USFA AS Douanes
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 14 13
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.59 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Premier League
USFA vs AS Douanes
2:2
Dec 19, 2025 Premier League
AS Douanes vs USFA
2:1
Mar 15, 2025 Premier League
USFA vs AS Douanes
0:0
Nov 24, 2024 Premier League
AS Douanes vs USFA
1:2
Feb 17, 2024 Premier League
USFA vs AS Douanes
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USFA Compare

Top Goalscorer Guel M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ouattara J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

AS Douanes Compare

Top Goalscorer Banao D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kiemde F. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USFA 68 / 100
AS Douanes 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USFA AS Douanes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USFA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USFA's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

USFA went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

AS Douanes let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

USFA VS AS Douanes
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

USFA

(Home)
10 May
Bobo-Dioulasso
0 : 2
USFA
03 May
USFA
0 : 0
Kadiogo
26 Apr
Majestic
1 : 1
USFA
19 Apr
USFA
0 : 1
Rahimo
12 Apr
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
1 : 2
USFA
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AS Douanes

(Away)
10 May
AS Douanes
1 : 2
CFFEB
03 May
Salitas
2 : 1
AS Douanes
26 Apr
AS Douanes
2 : 1
Sonabel Ouagadougou
17 Apr
AS Douanes
1 : 1
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
10 Apr
Vitesse
0 : 1
AS Douanes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rahimo 30 20 9 1 47:15 69
2 USFA 30 12 13 5 31:17 49
3 Sporting Cascades 30 10 13 7 25:18 43
4 AS Douanes 30 10 13 7 29:29 43
5 Majestic 30 11 10 9 26:27 43
6 CFFEB 30 10 10 10 25:25 40
7 Salitas 30 10 10 10 29:31 40
8 Kadiogo 30 10 8 12 27:27 38
9 ASFA Yennega 30 9 11 10 24:28 38
10 Vitesse 30 9 10 11 25:25 37
11 Real Du Faso 30 9 10 11 21:23 37
12 ASF Dioulasso 30 9 10 11 25:31 37
13 Sonabel Ouagadougou 30 8 12 10 24:28 36
14 Etoile Filante 30 7 12 11 22:29 33
15 Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 9 15 11:28 27
16 AJE Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 8 16 27:37 26
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)