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Stadium Background

USFAS Bamako vs Bougouba

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako Logo

USFAS Bamako

0 - 2
FT
Bougouba Logo

Bougouba

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bougouba in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bougouba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
USFAS Bamako
20%
Draws
40%
Bougouba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to USFAS Bamako lately — more wins on the board than Bougouba.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on USFAS Bamako taking it.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
USFAS Bamako Clean Sheet 68%
Bougouba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USFAS Bamako Bougouba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.57 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako vs Bougouba
0:2
Jan 15, 2026 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs USFAS Bamako
2:2
May 7, 2025 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs USFAS Bamako
0:1
Jan 11, 2025 Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako vs Bougouba
2:1
Apr 13, 2024 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs USFAS Bamako
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USFAS Bamako 77 / 100
Bougouba 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USFAS Bamako Bougouba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USFAS Bamako Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USFAS Bamako scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Bougouba let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: USFAS Bamako remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

USFAS Bamako VS Bougouba
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

USFAS Bamako

(Home)
14 Jun
USFAS Bamako
2 : 1
Mali Coura
09 Jun
US Bougouni
2 : 1
USFAS Bamako
04 Jun
USFAS Bamako
3 : 0
Onze Createurs
31 May
Stade Malien
2 : 2
USFAS Bamako
25 May
USFAS Bamako
0 : 2
Bougouba
Page 1 of 6

Bougouba

(Away)
13 Jun
Real Bamako
4 : 0
Bougouba
09 Jun
Bougouba
2 : 6
Diarra
05 Jun
Binga
0 : 1
Bougouba
31 May
Bougouba
1 : 1
Bakaridjan
25 May
USFAS Bamako
0 : 2
Bougouba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)