Sport Picks

Stadium Background

USM Alger vs Olympique Akbou

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade du 5 Juillet 1962, Algiers
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Bouderbala M.
22'
Chetti I.
46'
Sub
Boursali R. In: Zamoum W.
Out: Boursali R.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between USM Alger and Olympique Akbou finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USM Alger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
USM Alger
35%
Draws
24%
Olympique Akbou
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: USM Alger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • USM Alger have managed 1.06 goals a game lately — Olympique Akbou are scoring more at 1.17.
  • Model gives USM Alger a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
USM Alger Clean Sheet 68%
Olympique Akbou Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USM Alger Olympique Akbou
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 16 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.06 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs Olympique Akbou
1:0
Dec 27, 2025 Ligue 1
Olympique Akbou vs USM Alger
1:1
May 26, 2025 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs Olympique Akbou
1:1
Feb 1, 2025 Ligue 1
Olympique Akbou vs USM Alger
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USM Alger Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouderbala M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.49

Olympique Akbou Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USM Alger 59 / 100
Olympique Akbou 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USM Alger Olympique Akbou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USM Alger Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: USM Alger remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: USM Alger scored in 71% of their last 35 outings.

Olympique Akbou let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Difficult form: Olympique Akbou registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

USM Alger VS Olympique Akbou
1.25 Goals Scored 0.43
1 Goals Conceded 0.71
63% Over 1.5 43%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

USM Alger

(Home)
10 Sept
USM Alger
2 : 0
JS El Biar
04 Sept
Khenchela
0 : 0
USM Alger
15 Aug
Club Africain
0 : 0
USM Alger
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2
USM Alger
04 Jun
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2
USM Alger
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Olympique Akbou

(Away)
12 Sept
Rouisset
2 : 0
Olympique Akbou
03 Sept
JS El Biar
0 : 2
Olympique Akbou
06 Jun
Olympique Akbou
1 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
19 May
USM Alger
1 : 0
Olympique Akbou
08 May
Olympique Akbou
0 : 1
CR Belouizdad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)