Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Botola 2 game between USM Oujda and Chabab Benguerir finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- USM Oujda's 0.97 goals per match outpaces what Chabab Benguerir have produced (0.9).
- Win probability leans USM Oujda's way, sitting at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
USM Oujda Clean Sheet 68%
Chabab Benguerir Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | USM Oujda | Chabab Benguerir |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 13 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2026 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Chabab Benguerir
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Botola 2
Chabab Benguerir vs USM Oujda
2:1
May 18, 2025 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Chabab Benguerir
3:3
Jan 19, 2025 Botola 2
Chabab Benguerir vs USM Oujda
1:1
May 11, 2024 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Chabab Benguerir
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
USM Oujda 51 / 100
Chabab Benguerir 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
USM Oujda Chabab Benguerir
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
USM Oujda went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: USM Oujda scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Chabab Benguerir conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
USM Oujda VS Chabab Benguerir
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
USM Oujda
(Home) 05 Jul
Widad Temara
0 : 1 USM Oujda
27 Jun
USM Oujda
1 : 1 Chabab Atlas Khenifra
20 Jun
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
2 : 0 USM Oujda
13 Jun
USM Oujda
1 : 0 US Boujaad
06 Jun
Mouloudia Oujda
2 : 1 USM Oujda
Page 1 of 6
27 Jun
USM Oujda
1 : 1 Chabab Atlas Khenifra
13 Jun
USM Oujda
1 : 0 US Boujaad
24 May
USM Oujda
3 : 1 RAC Casablanca
02 May
USM Oujda
1 : 0 Wydad Fes
05 Apr
USM Oujda
1 : 1 Chabab Benguerir
Page 1 of 3
Chabab Benguerir
(Away) 05 Jul
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
1 : 1 Chabab Benguerir
27 Jun
Chabab Benguerir
0 : 0 US Boujaad
20 Jun
Mouloudia Oujda
1 : 1 Chabab Benguerir
13 Jun
Chabab Benguerir
0 : 0 Moghreb Tetouan
07 Jun
RAC Casablanca
0 : 1 Chabab Benguerir
Page 1 of 7
05 Jul
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
1 : 1 Chabab Benguerir
20 Jun
Mouloudia Oujda
1 : 1 Chabab Benguerir
07 Jun
RAC Casablanca
0 : 1 Chabab Benguerir
15 May
Chabab Mohammedia
0 : 3 Chabab Benguerir
09 May
Wydad Fes
1 : 1 Chabab Benguerir
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moghreb Tetouan | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 33:22 | 53 |
| 2 | Widad Temara | 30 | 13 | 14 | 3 | 36:26 | 53 |
| 3 | Amal Tiznit | 30 | 10 | 16 | 4 | 36:26 | 46 |
| 4 | Jeunesse Massira | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 29:21 | 44 |
| 5 | Chabab Atlas Khenifra | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 26:24 | 43 |
| 6 | Jeunesse Sportive Soualem | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 37:35 | 42 |
| 7 | Stade Marocain | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 23:24 | 41 |
| 8 | Wydad Fes | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 34:30 | 38 |
| 9 | Mouloudia Oujda | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 35:38 | 37 |
| 10 | Chabab Benguerir | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 25:28 | 37 |
| 11 | USM Oujda | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 29:30 | 37 |
| 12 | Chabab Mohammedia | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | KAC Kenitra | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 35:36 | 36 |
| 14 | US Boujaad | 30 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 25:22 | 35 |
| 15 | Raja Beni Mellal | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 25:32 | 32 |
| 16 | RAC Casablanca | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 21:43 | 18 |
Promotion - Botola Pro (Main)
Promotion - Botola Pro 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 (Relegation)
