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USM Oujda vs Jeunesse Massira

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Botola 2
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AI Match Summary

The Botola 2 game between USM Oujda and Jeunesse Massira finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
USM Oujda
33%
Draws
27%
Jeunesse Massira
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: USM Oujda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Jeunesse Massira carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans USM Oujda's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
USM Oujda Clean Sheet 68%
Jeunesse Massira Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USM Oujda Jeunesse Massira
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 11
Draws 10 11
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Jeunesse Massira
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 Botola 2
Jeunesse Massira vs USM Oujda
1:0
May 7, 2025 Botola 2
Jeunesse Massira vs USM Oujda
3:1
Jan 4, 2025 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Jeunesse Massira
0:0
Jun 15, 2024 Botola 2
Jeunesse Massira vs USM Oujda
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USM Oujda 50 / 100
Jeunesse Massira 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USM Oujda Jeunesse Massira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jeunesse Massira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: USM Oujda stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

USM Oujda's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

USM Oujda VS Jeunesse Massira
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Moghreb Tetouan301411533:2253
2Widad Temara301314336:2653
3Amal Tiznit301016436:2646
4Jeunesse Massira301111829:2144
5Chabab Atlas Khenifra301110926:2443
6Jeunesse Sportive Soualem301012837:3542
7Stade Marocain301181123:2441
8Wydad Fes309111034:3038
9Mouloudia Oujda30813935:3837
10Chabab Benguerir30813925:2837
11USM Oujda309101129:3037
12Chabab Mohammedia30991225:3736
13KAC Kenitra308121035:3636
14US Boujaad30714925:2235
15Raja Beni Mellal307111225:3232
16RAC Casablanca30391821:4318