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USM Oujda vs Jeunesse Massira

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Botola 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Botola 2 2025/2026 game between USM Oujda and Jeunesse Massira finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
USM Oujda
20%
Draws
33%
Jeunesse Massira
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: USM Oujda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • USM Oujda's 1.03 goals per match outpaces what Jeunesse Massira have produced (0.93).
  • Win probability leans USM Oujda's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
USM Oujda Clean Sheet 68%
Jeunesse Massira Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USM Oujda Jeunesse Massira
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.03 0.93
Goals Conceded 1 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Jeunesse Massira
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 Botola 2
Jeunesse Massira vs USM Oujda
1:0
May 7, 2025 Botola 2
Jeunesse Massira vs USM Oujda
3:1
Jan 4, 2025 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Jeunesse Massira
0:0
Jun 15, 2024 Botola 2
Jeunesse Massira vs USM Oujda
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USM Oujda 68 / 100
Jeunesse Massira 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USM Oujda Jeunesse Massira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USM Oujda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jeunesse Massira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: USM Oujda stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

USM Oujda's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

USM Oujda VS Jeunesse Massira
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

USM Oujda

(Home)
27 Sept
USM Oujda
2 : 1
Mouloudia Oujda
05 Jul
Widad Temara
0 : 1
USM Oujda
27 Jun
USM Oujda
1 : 1
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
20 Jun
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
2 : 0
USM Oujda
13 Jun
USM Oujda
1 : 0
US Boujaad
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Jeunesse Massira

(Away)
27 Sept
Jeunesse Massira
2 : 1
Stade Marocain
21 Jul
Union Touarga
3 : 0
Jeunesse Massira
17 Jul
Jeunesse Massira
1 : 1
Union Touarga
05 Jul
Jeunesse Massira
3 : 1
Raja Beni Mellal
27 Jun
Wydad Fes
3 : 0
Jeunesse Massira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moghreb Tetouan 30 14 11 5 33:22 53
2 Widad Temara 30 13 14 3 36:26 53
3 Amal Tiznit 30 10 16 4 36:26 46
4 Jeunesse Massira 30 11 11 8 29:21 44
5 Chabab Atlas Khenifra 30 11 10 9 26:24 43
6 Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 30 10 12 8 37:35 42
7 Stade Marocain 30 11 8 11 23:24 41
8 Wydad Fes 30 9 11 10 34:30 38
9 Mouloudia Oujda 30 8 13 9 35:38 37
10 Chabab Benguerir 30 8 13 9 25:28 37
11 USM Oujda 30 9 10 11 29:30 37
12 Chabab Mohammedia 30 9 9 12 25:37 36
13 KAC Kenitra 30 8 12 10 35:36 36
14 US Boujaad 30 7 14 9 25:22 35
15 Raja Beni Mellal 30 7 11 12 25:32 32
16 RAC Casablanca 30 3 9 18 21:43 18
Promotion - Botola Pro (Main)
Promotion - Botola Pro 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)