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USM Oujda vs Jeunesse Sportive Soualem Prediction & H2H Stats

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Botola 2 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Botola 2 2025/2026 game between USM Oujda and Jeunesse Sportive Soualem finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USM Oujda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
USM Oujda
20%
Draws
33%
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: USM Oujda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Jeunesse Sportive Soualem haven't matched USM Oujda's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
USM Oujda Clean Sheet 68%
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USM Oujda Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 12
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.14
Goals Conceded 1 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Botola 2
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem vs USM Oujda
2:0
Jan 31, 2026 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USM Oujda 41 / 100
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USM Oujda Jeunesse Sportive Soualem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USM Oujda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Jeunesse Sportive Soualem's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

USM Oujda went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

USM Oujda found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

USM Oujda VS Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

USM Oujda

(Home)
27 Sept
USM Oujda
2 : 1
Mouloudia Oujda
05 Jul
Widad Temara
0 : 1
USM Oujda
27 Jun
USM Oujda
1 : 1
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
20 Jun
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
2 : 0
USM Oujda
13 Jun
USM Oujda
1 : 0
US Boujaad
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Jeunesse Sportive Soualem

(Away)
27 Sept
Chabab Benguerir
2 : 0
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
05 Jul
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
1 : 1
Chabab Benguerir
27 Jun
KAC Kenitra
1 : 2
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
20 Jun
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
2 : 0
USM Oujda
14 Jun
Amal Tiznit
2 : 1
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moghreb Tetouan 30 14 11 5 33:22 53
2 Widad Temara 30 13 14 3 36:26 53
3 Amal Tiznit 30 10 16 4 36:26 46
4 Jeunesse Massira 30 11 11 8 29:21 44
5 Chabab Atlas Khenifra 30 11 10 9 26:24 43
6 Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 30 10 12 8 37:35 42
7 Stade Marocain 30 11 8 11 23:24 41
8 Wydad Fes 30 9 11 10 34:30 38
9 Mouloudia Oujda 30 8 13 9 35:38 37
10 Chabab Benguerir 30 8 13 9 25:28 37
11 USM Oujda 30 9 10 11 29:30 37
12 Chabab Mohammedia 30 9 9 12 25:37 36
13 KAC Kenitra 30 8 12 10 35:36 36
14 US Boujaad 30 7 14 9 25:22 35
15 Raja Beni Mellal 30 7 11 12 25:32 32
16 RAC Casablanca 30 3 9 18 21:43 18
Promotion - Botola Pro (Main)
Promotion - Botola Pro 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)