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USM Oujda vs Jeunesse Sportive Soualem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Morocco Morocco

Botola 2
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

USM Oujda host Jeunesse Sportive Soualem in the Botola 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. USM Oujda have averaged 1.09 scored and 1.06 conceded recently, against Jeunesse Sportive Soualem's 1.13 scored and 1.33 conceded. Head-to-head, USM Oujda have won 1 to Jeunesse Sportive Soualem's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 20, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.19 - 1.00) back USM Oujda to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
USM Oujda
30%
Draws
12%
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: USM Oujda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to USM Oujda lately — more wins on the board than Jeunesse Sportive Soualem.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on USM Oujda taking it.
  • Regular Botola 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
USM Oujda Clean Sheet 20%
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USM Oujda Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 9 12
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.09 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Botola 2
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem vs USM Oujda
2:0
Jan 31, 2026 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USM Oujda 76 / 100
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USM Oujda Jeunesse Sportive Soualem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USM Oujda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jeunesse Sportive Soualem conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

USM Oujda scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Solid form: USM Oujda remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

USM Oujda VS Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

USM Oujda

(Home)
18 Oct
Wydad Fes
4 : 1
USM Oujda
10 Oct
USM Oujda
1 : 1
Olympique de Safi
04 Oct
Chabab Mohammedia
0 : 1
USM Oujda
27 Sept
USM Oujda
2 : 1
Mouloudia Oujda
05 Jul
Widad Temara
0 : 1
USM Oujda
Page 1 of 7

Jeunesse Sportive Soualem

(Away)
18 Oct
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
1 : 4
Dcheira
11 Oct
Yacoub El Mansour
1 : 0
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
04 Oct
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
0 : 0
Jeunesse Massira
27 Sept
Chabab Benguerir
2 : 0
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
05 Jul
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
1 : 1
Chabab Benguerir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yacoub El Mansour 4 3 1 0 5:1 10
2 Dcheira 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
3 Wydad Fes 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
4 Ittihad Khemisset 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
5 Olympique de Safi 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
6 USM Oujda 4 2 1 1 5:6 7
7 Stade Marocain 4 2 0 2 4:4 6
8 Mouloudia Oujda 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
9 Jeunesse Massira 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
10 Olympique Khouribga 4 1 1 2 6:4 4
11 Chabab Benguerir 4 1 1 2 4:4 4
12 KAC Kenitra 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
13 US Boujaad 4 0 3 1 2:5 3
14 Chabab Mohammedia 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
15 Chabab Atlas Khenifra 4 0 1 3 3:9 1
16 Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 4 0 1 3 1:7 1
Promotion - Botola Pro 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Botola Pro (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 (Relegation)