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USM Oujda vs US Boujaad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Morocco Morocco

Botola 2
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

USM Oujda host US Boujaad in the Botola 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. US Boujaad have shipped 0.82 goals a game lately, while USM Oujda have conceded 0.94 and scored 1.06. Head-to-head, USM Oujda have won 1 to US Boujaad's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 13, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.81 - 1.25) back USM Oujda to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
USM Oujda
35%
Draws
24%
US Boujaad
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: USM Oujda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • USM Oujda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans USM Oujda's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Botola 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
USM Oujda Clean Sheet 19%
US Boujaad Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USM Oujda US Boujaad
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 13 7
Draws 10 13
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.06 0.96
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs US Boujaad
1:0
Jan 25, 2026 Botola 2
US Boujaad vs USM Oujda
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USM Oujda 40 / 100
US Boujaad 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USM Oujda US Boujaad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USM Oujda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: USM Oujda scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

US Boujaad has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: USM Oujda stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

USM Oujda VS US Boujaad
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

USM Oujda

(Home)
18 Oct
Wydad Fes
4 : 1
USM Oujda
10 Oct
USM Oujda
1 : 1
Olympique de Safi
04 Oct
Chabab Mohammedia
0 : 1
USM Oujda
27 Sept
USM Oujda
2 : 1
Mouloudia Oujda
05 Jul
Widad Temara
0 : 1
USM Oujda
Page 1 of 7

US Boujaad

(Away)
17 Oct
US Boujaad
1 : 1
Yacoub El Mansour
10 Oct
US Boujaad
1 : 1
KAC Kenitra
03 Oct
Wydad Fes
3 : 0
US Boujaad
26 Sept
US Boujaad
0 : 0
Olympique de Safi
22 Jul
US Boujaad
4 : 1
Rapide Oued Zem
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yacoub El Mansour 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
2 Wydad Fes 5 3 1 1 10:5 10
3 Dcheira 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
4 Ittihad Khemisset 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
5 Olympique de Safi 5 2 2 1 5:5 8
6 Stade Marocain 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
7 USM Oujda 4 2 1 1 5:6 7
8 Olympique Khouribga 5 1 2 2 7:5 5
9 Mouloudia Oujda 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
10 Jeunesse Massira 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
11 KAC Kenitra 5 1 2 2 2:3 5
12 Chabab Benguerir 4 1 1 2 4:4 4
13 Chabab Atlas Khenifra 5 1 1 3 7:11 4
14 US Boujaad 4 0 3 1 2:5 3
15 Chabab Mohammedia 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
16 Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 4 0 1 3 1:7 1
Promotion - Botola Pro 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Botola Pro (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 (Relegation)