Sport Picks

Stadium Background

USM Senlis vs Nantes

France France

Coupe de France 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Bammou Y.
36' Event
Rongier V.
45'
Damour J.

AI Match Summary

Nantes in this Coupe de France 2017/2018 tie, finishing 0-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
USM Senlis
15%
Draws
37%
Nantes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USM Senlis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Nantes have won more games recently than USM Senlis.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Nantes arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nantes, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
USM Senlis Clean Sheet 20%
Nantes Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USM Senlis Nantes
Matches Played 5 30
Wins 3 7
Draws 0 6
Losses 2 17
Goals Scored 1.4 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2018 Coupe de France
USM Senlis vs Nantes
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USM Senlis Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Nantes Compare

Top Goalscorer Sala E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bammou Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USM Senlis 31 / 100
Nantes 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USM Senlis Nantes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USM Senlis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

USM Senlis's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 5 recent games.

Nantes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Solid form: USM Senlis remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nantes
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

USM Senlis

(Home)
08 Dec
USM Senlis
0 : 1
Le Portel
17 Nov
Pont Sainte Maxence
1 : 2
USM Senlis
07 Jan
USM Senlis
0 : 4
Nantes
03 Dec
USM Senlis
3 : 1
Choisy Au Bac
19 Nov
USM Senlis
2 : 1
Vimy

Nantes

(Away)
19 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 2
Nantes
12 Sept
Sochaux
1 : 0
Nantes
07 Sept
Nantes
1 : 0
Nancy
29 Aug
Guingamp
3 : 3
Nantes
22 Aug
Nantes
2 : 5
Rodez
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Les Herbiers 3
Balma 0
Diables Noirs 1
Romorantin 10
Gueugnon 1
Tour Saint Clair 0
Bressuire 0
Angouleme CFC 2
Aubervilliers 2
St. Maur Lusitanos 0
Montauban 0
La Brede 1
Change 3
Plancoet-Arguenon FC 0
L'Etoile 1
Saint Lo Manche 4
Nantes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Choisy Au Bac 1
Quarouble 0
Vimy 1
USM Senlis 2
Schiltigheim 3
Amneville 1
Chantilly 0
Racing Club de France 3
Andrezieux 6
Mont-Pilat 0
Chamalieres 1
Auxerre 3
Troyes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
UL Rombas 2
Thaon 0
Saint Avold 0
Still 1930 2
Nimes 1
Athletico Marseille 0
Sud Ardeche 0
Anduze 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St Etienne -
Stade Briochin 9
Le Geldar 1
Stade Pontivyen 0
Laval 3
Saumur Olympique 2
Les Sables 1
Liffre 1
Vannes 2
Boulogne 1
Les Ulis 0
Lucciana 2
Arras 3
Reims 2
Geispolsheim 0
US Noeux Les Mines 0
Lens 5
Strasbourg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dijon -
Le Mans 1
ASPTT Caen 0
Feignies-Aulnoye 1
Excelsior 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Biesheim 1
Tremery 0
Feurs 1
Lyon - La Duchere 2
Raon L Etape 2
Epernay 0
Olympique Marcquois 1
Fleury 91 2
GFC Ajaccio 4
AS Cagnes-Le Cros 1
Martigues 1
Gemenos 2
Tarbes 4
Merignac 1
Annecy 1
Grenoble 3
Granville 3
Vierzon Foot 2
St. Colomban Locmine 1
Vitre 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bordeaux -
Houilles 1
Bretteville Sur Odon 0
Avranches 0
Etoile Matoury 1
Brest 5
Pledran 0
Golden Lion 0
Concarneau 7
Chateauroux 3
Avoine 2
Feytiat 1
Cholet 6
Essartais 3
Ancienne Chateau-Gontier 2
Plomelin 0
Saint-Malo 5
CO Avallon 2
Hauts Lyonnais 1
Vallee de la Gresse 2
Cluses Scionzier 3
Haguenau 2
US Ittenheim 0
AF Virois 0
Chambly 1
Caen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beauvais 1
AJ Petite-Ile 0
Quevilly 1
SC Hazebrouck 2
Sud Nivernais Imphy Decize 3
Bron Grand Lyon 0
Chapelain Foot 0
Bergerac 2
AC Ajaccio 3
Saint-Amand 1
Ales 0
Canet Roussillon 3
Tours 8
Pays Argentonnais 0
Bellevue Nantes 2
Limoges 3
Rouen 4
Saint Brice 1
Orleans 1
Chartres 3
Dunkerque 1
Cambrai 0
Itancourt Neuville 1
OS Fives 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Metz -
Montpellier -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Morteau Montlebon 3
Grandvillars 1
Mulhouse 1
Pontarlier 2
Angers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sene 3
Quimperle 2
Stella Maris Douarnenez 0
Lorient 4
Monaco -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Belfort 3
Club Colonial 2
Clermont 0
Moulins-Yzeure 1
Nancy 1
Forbach 0
Porto Portugais 0
Rungis 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Marseille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Evreux 3
Le Havre 2
FCA Troyes 0
Valenciennes 2
Sannois 7
Lossi 1
Stade Ygossais 0
Paris FC 3
Blanc Mesnil 2
ASC La Courneuve 0
Moulien 2
Epinal 6
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
AS-Fabregues 4
Valdaine 0
Tefana 0
Rodez 3
ES Tarentaise 2
Rivieres 0
Seyssinet 2
Bourg Peronnas 3
Sochaux 2
Villefranche 1
Hegenheim 2
St. Louis Neuweg 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Amiens SC -
Le Puy-en-Velay 3
Football Club de Chaumont 0
Marseille Endoume 2
Alberes Argeles 3
Furiani Agliani 1
Compiegne 0
Langon FC 0
Colomiers 1
Guingamp -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stade Bordelais 2
Bayonne 0
Tournefeuille 1
Niort 5
Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
1/64-finals
Les Herbiers 2
Romorantin 1
Gueugnon 1
Angouleme CFC 2
Aubervilliers 1
La Brede 0
Change 1
Saint Lo Manche 2
Nantes -
TBD -
Choisy Au Bac 1
USM Senlis 3
Schiltigheim 2
Racing Club de France 1
Andrezieux 1
Auxerre 2
Troyes -
TBD -
UL Rombas 1
Still 1930 2
Nimes 3
Anduze 1
TBD -
St Etienne -
Stade Briochin 2
Laval 0
Saumur Olympique 0
Vannes 1
Boulogne 2
Arras 1
Reims 2
Lens 3
Strasbourg -
TBD -
TBD -
Dijon -
Le Mans 3
Excelsior 2
TBD -
Lille -
Biesheim 1
Lyon - La Duchere 0
Raon L Etape 0
Fleury 91 4
GFC Ajaccio 2
Gemenos 1
Tarbes 0
Grenoble 3
Granville 2
Vitre 1
TBD -
Bordeaux -
Houilles 2
Etoile Matoury 1
Brest 2
Concarneau 3
Chateauroux 5
Cholet 3
Essartais 0
Saint-Malo 3
CO Avallon 1
Cluses Scionzier 0
Haguenau 1
Chambly 3
Caen -
TBD -
Beauvais 0
SC Hazebrouck 3
Sud Nivernais Imphy Decize 3
Bergerac 0
AC Ajaccio 0
Canet Roussillon 2
Tours 4
Limoges 2
Rouen 0
Chartres 2
Dunkerque 2
OS Fives 0
TBD -
Metz -
Montpellier -
TBD -
Morteau Montlebon 1
Pontarlier 2
Angers -
TBD -
Sene 1
Lorient 6
Monaco -
TBD -
Belfort 0
Moulins-Yzeure 3
Nancy 6
Rungis 1
TBD -
Lyon -
Marseille -
TBD -
Evreux 0
Valenciennes 3
Sannois 3
Paris FC 2
Blanc Mesnil 1
Epinal 2
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
AS-Fabregues 2
Rodez 1
ES Tarentaise 1
Bourg Peronnas 2
Sochaux 2
St. Louis Neuweg 1
TBD -
Amiens SC -
Le Puy-en-Velay 2
Alberes Argeles 0
Furiani Agliani 0
Colomiers 3
Guingamp -
TBD -
Stade Bordelais 0
Niort 1
Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
1/32-finals
Les Herbiers 2
Angouleme CFC 1
Aubervilliers 2
Saint Lo Manche 3
Nantes 4
USM Senlis 0
Schiltigheim 1
Auxerre 5
Troyes 1
Still 1930 0
Nimes 0
St Etienne 2
Stade Briochin 2
Vannes 1
Boulogne 2
Lens 3
Strasbourg 3
Dijon 2
Le Mans 2
Lille 4
Biesheim 1
Fleury 91 0
GFC Ajaccio 1
Grenoble 2
Granville 2
Bordeaux 1
Houilles 0
Concarneau 3
Chateauroux 2
Saint-Malo 1
CO Avallon 0
Chambly 2
Caen 2
SC Hazebrouck 0
Sud Nivernais Imphy Decize 1
Canet Roussillon 3
Tours 2
Chartres 1
Dunkerque 2
Metz 4
Montpellier 2
Pontarlier 1
Angers 0
Lorient 2
Monaco 5
Moulins-Yzeure 2
Nancy 2
Lyon 3
Marseille 1
Valenciennes 0
Sannois 1
Epinal 2
Toulouse 1
Nice 0
AS-Fabregues 1
Bourg Peronnas 2
Sochaux 6
Amiens SC 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Colomiers 2
Guingamp 1
Niort 0
Rennes 1
PSG 6
1/16-finals
Les Herbiers 2
Saint Lo Manche 1
Nantes 3
Auxerre 4
Troyes 2
St Etienne 1
Stade Briochin 0
Lens 1
Strasbourg 2
Lille 1
Biesheim 2
Grenoble 3
Granville 3
Concarneau 2
Chateauroux 1
Chambly 2
Caen 2
Canet Roussillon 1
Tours 0
Metz 1
Montpellier 4
Lorient 3
Monaco 2
Lyon 3
Marseille 2
Epinal 0
Toulouse 0
Bourg Peronnas 2
Sochaux 2
Colomiers 1
Guingamp 2
PSG 4
1/8-finals
Les Herbiers 3
Auxerre 0
Troyes 0
Lens 1
Strasbourg 3
Grenoble 0
Granville 0
Chambly 1
Caen 3
Metz 2
Montpellier 1
Lyon 2
Marseille 9
Bourg Peronnas 0
Sochaux 1
PSG 4
Quarter-finals
Les Herbiers 1
Lens 0
Strasbourg 0
Chambly 1
Caen 1
Lyon 0
Marseille 0
PSG 3
Semi-finals
Les Herbiers 2
Chambly 0
Caen 1
PSG 3
Final
Les Herbiers 0
PSG 2