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USM Setif vs Bechar Djedid

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with USM Setif advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
USM Setif
15%
Draws
28%
Bechar Djedid
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USM Setif

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and USM Setif come out ahead of Bechar Djedid on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on USM Setif taking it.
  • USM Setif have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor USM Setif, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
USM Setif Clean Sheet 20%
Bechar Djedid Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USM Setif Bechar Djedid
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 5
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 1.07 1
Goals Conceded 1.07 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 13, 2014 Algeria Cup
Bechar Djedid vs USM Setif
0:3
Jan 15, 2009 Algeria Cup
USM Setif vs Bechar Djedid
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USM Setif 40 / 100
Bechar Djedid 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USM Setif Bechar Djedid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USM Setif Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bechar Djedid conceded in 94% of 31 recent games.

USM Setif found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: Bechar Djedid has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bechar Djedid
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

USM Setif

(Home)
11 Jan
USM Setif
0 : 1
Oran
04 Jan
ISC Tlemcen
1 : 3
USM Setif
18 Dec
Mohammadia SA
2 : 1
USM Setif
26 Dec
ASM Oran
2 : 1
USM Setif
13 Dec
Bechar Djedid
0 : 3
USM Setif
Page 1 of 6

Bechar Djedid

(Away)
08 May
Bechar Djedid
3 : 1
JSM Tiaret
01 May
Arba
2 : 1
Bechar Djedid
25 Apr
Bechar Djedid
1 : 2
Hussein Dey
18 Apr
Tlemcen
3 : 1
Bechar Djedid
10 Apr
Bechar Djedid
1 : 2
JS El Biar
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
ROC Ras El Oued 0
GC Mascara 2
WM Tebessa 0
WAB Tissemsilt 2
Annaba 3
Souk Ahras 0
Khenchela 1
OM Arzew 3
Guelma 3
Ghardaia 0
MSP Batna 1
Maghnia 2
Constantine 2
CC Rouina 3
Mohammadia SA 1
ACS Ouragla 0
Mekhadma 2
RC Kouba 4
Kabylie 0
ASO Chlef 1
Tlemcen 2
Touggourt 0
Hussein Dey 0
Khroub 1
NR Tazoughert 0
CR Belouizdad 2
MC Alger 9
IRB Ain Deheb 0
USMM Hadjout 3
Annasser 2
CA Batna 8
MB Baida 0
USM Alger 1
Paradou 2
Bejaia 1
USM Blida 2
Saida 2
OC Beaulieu 1
Harrach 0
ES Setif 1
Remchi 1
NRB Chrea 0
USM Setif 1
Bechar Djedid 0
ES Ben Aknoun 2
Ain Sefra 1
NR Bekouche Lakhdar 0
Skikda 1
SC Ain Defla 0
Kolea 3
WR Bentalha 0
Oran 3
Eulma 3
Bordj Ghedir 0
Collo 1
IB Khemis El Khechna 0
Hadjar 1
JS Djijel 3
SKAF Khemis Melina 0
Bordj Bou Arreridj 1
Mostaganem 2
CRB Bordj El Kiffan 1
Tadamoun Souf 0
Sougueur 3
1/16-finals
GC Mascara 1
WAB Tissemsilt 0
Annaba 1
OM Arzew 0
Guelma 0
Maghnia 1
CC Rouina 0
Mohammadia SA 1
RC Kouba 0
ASO Chlef 1
Tlemcen 4
Khroub 2
CR Belouizdad 1
MC Alger 0
USMM Hadjout 2
CA Batna 5
Paradou 1
USM Blida 3
Saida 0
ES Setif 1
Remchi 0
USM Setif 1
ES Ben Aknoun 3
Skikda 2
Kolea 0
Oran 1
Eulma 1
Collo 0
JS Djijel 0
Bordj Bou Arreridj 1
Mostaganem 1
Sougueur 0
1/8-finals
GC Mascara 0
Annaba 2
Maghnia 0
Mohammadia SA 1
ASO Chlef 1
Tlemcen 2
CR Belouizdad 1
CA Batna 0
USM Blida 0
ES Setif 1
USM Setif 1
ES Ben Aknoun 2
Oran 0
Eulma 1
Bordj Bou Arreridj 4
Mostaganem 1
Quarter-finals
Annaba 2
Mohammadia SA 0
Tlemcen 1
CR Belouizdad 2
ES Setif 4
ES Ben Aknoun 1
Eulma 0
Bordj Bou Arreridj 1
Semi-finals
Annaba 0
CR Belouizdad 1
ES Setif 1
Bordj Bou Arreridj 2
Final
CR Belouizdad 1
Bordj Bou Arreridj 0