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USM Setif vs ES Ben Aknoun - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup 2008/2009
USM Setif Logo

USM Setif

Thu, Feb 5, 2009
1 - 2
02:00 PM
ES Ben Aknoun Logo

ES Ben Aknoun

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with ES Ben Aknoun advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
USM Setif
35%
Draws
35%
ES Ben Aknoun
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • ES Ben Aknoun's 1.65 goals per match outpaces what USM Setif have produced (1.07).
  • USM Setif are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor ES Ben Aknoun, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
USM Setif Clean Sheet 18%
ES Ben Aknoun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USM Setif ES Ben Aknoun
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 11
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2009 Algeria Cup
USM Setif vs ES Ben Aknoun
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USM Setif 41 / 100
ES Ben Aknoun 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USM Setif ES Ben Aknoun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: USM Setif scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

ES Ben Aknoun let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

USM Setif went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS ES Ben Aknoun
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

USM Setif

(Home)
11 Jan
USM Setif
0 : 1
Oran
04 Jan
ISC Tlemcen
1 : 3
USM Setif
18 Dec
Mohammadia SA
2 : 1
USM Setif
26 Dec
ASM Oran
2 : 1
USM Setif
13 Dec
Bechar Djedid
0 : 3
USM Setif
Page 1 of 6

ES Ben Aknoun

(Away)
07 Oct
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2
JS El Biar
18 Sept
Khenchela
1 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
10 Sept
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2
Biskra
03 Sept
ES Setif
0 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
11 Aug
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2
Saoura
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
ROC Ras El Oued 0
GC Mascara 2
WM Tebessa 0
WAB Tissemsilt 2
Annaba 3
Souk Ahras 0
Khenchela 1
OM Arzew 3
Guelma 3
Ghardaia 0
MSP Batna 1
Maghnia 2
Constantine 2
CC Rouina 3
Mohammadia SA 1
ACS Ouragla 0
Mekhadma 2
RC Kouba 4
Kabylie 0
ASO Chlef 1
Tlemcen 2
Touggourt 0
Hussein Dey 0
Khroub 1
NR Tazoughert 0
CR Belouizdad 2
MC Alger 9
IRB Ain Deheb 0
USMM Hadjout 3
Annasser 2
CA Batna 8
MB Baida 0
USM Alger 1
Paradou 2
Bejaia 1
USM Blida 2
Saida 2
OC Beaulieu 1
Harrach 0
ES Setif 1
Remchi 1
NRB Chrea 0
USM Setif 1
Bechar Djedid 0
ES Ben Aknoun 2
Ain Sefra 1
NR Bekouche Lakhdar 0
Skikda 1
SC Ain Defla 0
Kolea 3
WR Bentalha 0
Oran 3
Eulma 3
Bordj Ghedir 0
Collo 1
IB Khemis El Khechna 0
Hadjar 1
JS Djijel 3
SKAF Khemis Melina 0
Bordj Bou Arreridj 1
Mostaganem 2
CRB Bordj El Kiffan 1
Tadamoun Souf 0
Sougueur 3
1/16-finals
GC Mascara 1
WAB Tissemsilt 0
Annaba 1
OM Arzew 0
Guelma 0
Maghnia 1
CC Rouina 0
Mohammadia SA 1
RC Kouba 0
ASO Chlef 1
Tlemcen 4
Khroub 2
CR Belouizdad 1
MC Alger 0
USMM Hadjout 2
CA Batna 5
Paradou 1
USM Blida 3
Saida 0
ES Setif 1
Remchi 0
USM Setif 1
ES Ben Aknoun 3
Skikda 2
Kolea 0
Oran 1
Eulma 1
Collo 0
JS Djijel 0
Bordj Bou Arreridj 1
Mostaganem 1
Sougueur 0
1/8-finals
GC Mascara 0
Annaba 2
Maghnia 0
Mohammadia SA 1
ASO Chlef 1
Tlemcen 2
CR Belouizdad 1
CA Batna 0
USM Blida 0
ES Setif 1
USM Setif 1
ES Ben Aknoun 2
Oran 0
Eulma 1
Bordj Bou Arreridj 4
Mostaganem 1
Quarter-finals
Annaba 2
Mohammadia SA 0
Tlemcen 1
CR Belouizdad 2
ES Setif 4
ES Ben Aknoun 1
Eulma 0
Bordj Bou Arreridj 1
Semi-finals
Annaba 0
CR Belouizdad 1
ES Setif 1
Bordj Bou Arreridj 2
Final
CR Belouizdad 1
Bordj Bou Arreridj 0