Sport Picks

Stadium Background

USM Setif vs Oran

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Dahar M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Oran advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
USM Setif
15%
Draws
53%
Oran
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • USM Setif haven't matched Oran's recent run of results.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Oran taking it.
  • Oran arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Oran, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Oran have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
USM Setif Clean Sheet 21%
Oran Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USM Setif Oran
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2025 Algeria Cup
USM Setif vs Oran
0:1
May 15, 2009 Ligue 2
Oran vs USM Setif
3:0
Nov 28, 2008 Ligue 2
USM Setif vs Oran
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USM Setif 29 / 100
Oran 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USM Setif Oran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oran Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USM Setif scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Oran conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

USM Setif has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Oran
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

USM Setif

(Home)
11 Jan
USM Setif
0 : 1
Oran
04 Jan
ISC Tlemcen
1 : 3
USM Setif
18 Dec
Mohammadia SA
2 : 1
USM Setif
26 Dec
ASM Oran
2 : 1
USM Setif
13 Dec
Bechar Djedid
0 : 3
USM Setif
Page 1 of 6

Oran

(Away)
18 Sept
ASO Chlef
0 : 1
Oran
11 Sept
Oran
2 : 0
CR Temouchent
28 Jul
Oran
3 : 0
Muaither SC
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2
USM Alger
20 May
CR Belouizdad
3 : 1
Oran
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Bel Abbes 2
Azazga 1
CR Temouchent 3
CA Batna 1
Bouakeul 0
Beni Thamou 1
USM Blida 0
Sedrata 1
RC Kouba 2
GC Mascara 0
Saoura 2
Khenchela 1
USM Alger 6
Olympique Magrane 0
Magra 1
Rouisset 0
ISC Tlemcen 1
USM Setif 3
Bechar Djedid 2
Oran 3
Guelma 0
Kabylie 2
Harrach 1
Hussein Dey 0
IRB Nezla 0
Kolea 1
Biskra 1
SC Mecheria 0
Mostaganem 2
WAB Tissemsilt 1
JSM Tiaret 4
ES Aurassien 0
CR Belouizdad 1
CR Zaouia 0
ES Ben Aknoun 0
MC Alger 3
US Chaouia 1
WA Mostaganem 0
El Kerma 2
ASO Chlef 1
Annaba 2
Ain Yagout 1
MO Bejaia 2
Khroub 1
Sendjas 1
Paradou 3
Hai El Djabel 2
Oued Fodda 1
Touggourt 2
Bougaa 0
Nasr El Fedjoudj 0
El Bayadh 1
Olympique Akbou 1
Constantine 0
MJ Arzew 2
Mouloudia Chouhada 1
Bejaia 2
USB Hassi 1
Sidi Abdelmoumen 0
AE El Eulma 2
Eulma 0
ES Setif 2
MB Barika 1
JS Djijel 2
1/16-finals
Bel Abbes 0
CR Temouchent 1
Beni Thamou 1
Sedrata 0
RC Kouba 2
Saoura 1
USM Alger 1
Magra 0
USM Setif 0
Oran 1
Kabylie 0
Harrach 1
Kolea 0
Biskra 1
Mostaganem 2
JSM Tiaret 1
CR Belouizdad 1
MC Alger 0
US Chaouia 2
El Kerma 1
Annaba 0
MO Bejaia 1
Paradou 2
Hai El Djabel 3
Touggourt 0
El Bayadh 2
Olympique Akbou 1
MJ Arzew 0
Bejaia 0
AE El Eulma 1
ES Setif 1
JS Djijel 0
1/8-finals
CR Temouchent 1
Beni Thamou 0
RC Kouba 0
USM Alger 1
Oran 0
Harrach 1
Biskra 1
Mostaganem 2
CR Belouizdad 4
US Chaouia 2
MO Bejaia 2
Hai El Djabel 0
El Bayadh 1
Olympique Akbou 0
AE El Eulma 0
ES Setif 1
Quarter-finals
CR Temouchent 0
USM Alger 5
Harrach 2
Mostaganem 1
CR Belouizdad 1
MO Bejaia 0
El Bayadh 1
ES Setif 0
Semi-finals
USM Alger 1
Harrach 0
CR Belouizdad 1
El Bayadh 0
Final
USM Alger 2
CR Belouizdad 0