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Stadium Background

Usti nad Labem vs MFK Karvina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

ChNL Town Stadium Usti, Usti nad Labem
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Usti nad Labem host MFK Karvina in the ChNL. Little to choose between these two on current form. MFK Karvina have shipped 1.41 goals a game lately, while Usti nad Labem have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.86. Past meetings favor Usti nad Labem slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2016, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.56, favoring Usti nad Labem. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Usti nad Labem
20%
Draws
47%
MFK Karvina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: MFK Karvina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • MFK Karvina have managed 1.74 goals a game lately — Usti nad Labem are scoring more at 1.86.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Usti nad Labem Clean Sheet 15%
MFK Karvina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Usti nad Labem MFK Karvina
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 16 16
Draws 5 1
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.86 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2016 ChNL
Usti nad Labem vs MFK Karvina
1:3
Nov 7, 2015 ChNL
MFK Karvina vs Usti nad Labem
1:0
May 24, 2015 ChNL
MFK Karvina vs Usti nad Labem
0:1
Nov 14, 2014 ChNL
Usti nad Labem vs MFK Karvina
1:0
Mar 15, 2014 ChNL
Usti nad Labem vs MFK Karvina
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Usti nad Labem 31 / 100
MFK Karvina 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Usti nad Labem MFK Karvina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Usti nad Labem scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

MFK Karvina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Usti nad Labem stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Usti nad Labem VS MFK Karvina
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Usti nad Labem

(Home)
09 Oct
Usti nad Labem
2 : 3
Opava
02 Oct
FK Ceska Lipa
2 : 3
Usti nad Labem
20 Sept
Ostrava B
0 : 2
Usti nad Labem
11 Sept
Usti nad Labem
1 : 2
Jihlava
04 Sept
Usti nad Labem
1 : 1
Slavia Prague B
Page 1 of 6

MFK Karvina

(Away)
09 Oct
Taborsko
0 : 1
MFK Karvina
02 Oct
MFK Karvina
1 : 1
S. Rzeszow
18 Sept
MFK Karvina
3 : 2
Kromeriz
11 Sept
Trinec
3 : 2
MFK Karvina
04 Sept
MFK Karvina
2 : 0
SK Kladno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MFK Karvina 10 7 0 3 20:12 21
2 Usti nad Labem 10 5 3 2 17:11 18
3 Dukla Prague 9 5 2 2 18:13 17
4 Jihlava 10 5 2 3 16:11 17
5 Vlasim 10 4 3 3 19:14 15
6 Pribram 9 3 5 1 15:14 14
7 Slavia Prague B 10 3 4 3 19:17 13
8 Taborsko 10 3 4 3 13:13 13
9 Opava 10 3 4 3 16:17 13
10 Ostrava B 9 3 2 4 15:12 11
11 SK Kladno 9 2 4 3 13:14 10
12 Zizkov 9 3 1 5 8:16 10
13 Prostejov 10 1 6 3 13:14 9
14 FK Ceska Lipa 9 2 3 4 10:16 9
15 Trinec 9 1 4 4 10:17 7
16 Kromeriz 9 1 3 5 8:19 6
Promotion - Chance Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Chance Liga (Relegation)