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Usti nad Orlici vs Trutnov - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group C Stadion TJ Jiskra, Usti nad Orlici
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Usti nad Orlici host Trutnov in the 4. liga - Group C. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Usti nad Orlici at 1.64 goals for, 1.64 against; Trutnov at 2.17 for, 1.83 against. Past meetings favor Usti nad Orlici slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 13, 2025, ending 2:0. xG projections (2.13 - 1.44) back Usti nad Orlici to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Usti nad Orlici
20%
Draws
40%
Trutnov
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Trutnov have won more games recently than Usti nad Orlici.
  • Usti nad Orlici are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Usti nad Orlici Clean Sheet 16%
Trutnov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Usti nad Orlici Trutnov
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.64 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2025 MOL Cup
Trutnov vs Usti nad Orlici
2:0
Mar 30, 2024 4. liga - Group C
Usti nad Orlici vs Trutnov
2:0
Sep 2, 2023 4. liga - Group C
Trutnov vs Usti nad Orlici
2:5
Jun 3, 2023 4. liga - Group C
Trutnov vs Usti nad Orlici
1:2
Nov 5, 2022 4. liga - Group C
Usti nad Orlici vs Trutnov
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Usti nad Orlici 41 / 100
Trutnov 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Usti nad Orlici Trutnov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Usti nad Orlici's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Trutnov has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Usti nad Orlici remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Usti nad Orlici VS Trutnov
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Usti nad Orlici

(Home)
26 Sept
Vykan
0 : 2
Usti nad Orlici
19 Sept
Usti nad Orlici
0 : 0
Svitavy
13 Sept
Dvur Kralove
0 : 1
Usti nad Orlici
05 Sept
Usti nad Orlici
2 : 1
Hlinsko
29 Aug
Slavia HK
3 : 1
Usti nad Orlici
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Trutnov

(Away)
03 Oct
Trutnov
2 : 1
Vykan
27 Sept
Svitavy
1 : 3
Trutnov
19 Sept
Trutnov
2 : 0
Dvur Kralove
12 Sept
Hlinsko
1 : 0
Trutnov
05 Sept
Trutnov
2 : 2
Slavia HK
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