Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Usti nad Orlici vs Turnov

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group C Stadion TJ Jiskra, Usti nad Orlici
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Usti nad Orlici host Turnov in the 4. liga - Group C. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Turnov have shipped 2.38 goals a game lately, while Usti nad Orlici have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.63. Past meetings favor Usti nad Orlici slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 15, 2024, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 2.06, favoring Turnov. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Usti nad Orlici
20%
Draws
38%
Turnov
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Usti nad Orlici

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Usti nad Orlici haven't matched Turnov's recent run of results.
  • Usti nad Orlici are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Usti nad Orlici have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Usti nad Orlici Clean Sheet 10%
Turnov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Usti nad Orlici Turnov
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 5 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.63 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2024 4. liga - Group C
Usti nad Orlici vs Turnov
1:0
Aug 16, 2023 4. liga - Group C
Turnov vs Usti nad Orlici
0:2
May 24, 2023 4. liga - Group C
Usti nad Orlici vs Turnov
1:0
Sep 18, 2022 4. liga - Group C
Turnov vs Usti nad Orlici
2:0
May 13, 2017 4. liga - Group C
Usti nad Orlici vs Turnov
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Usti nad Orlici 40 / 100
Turnov 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Usti nad Orlici Turnov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Turnov conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Usti nad Orlici's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Usti nad Orlici has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Usti nad Orlici VS Turnov
1.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Usti nad Orlici

(Home)
25 Jul
Hlinsko
2 : 4
Usti nad Orlici
18 Jul
Unicov
1 : 1
Usti nad Orlici
06 Jun
Usti nad Orlici
0 : 3
Mlada Boleslav B
31 May
Jablonec B
1 : 1
Usti nad Orlici
23 May
Usti nad Orlici
1 : 0
Liberec B
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Turnov

(Away)
25 Jul
Turnov
2 : 3
Liberec B
22 Jul
Zapy
2 : 0
Turnov
18 Jul
Povltavska FA
3 : 3
Turnov
13 Jun
Trutnov
2 : 4
Turnov
07 Jun
Turnov
3 : 3
Kosmonosy
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