Sport Picks
Ustrem Donchevo vs Cherno More II
Bulgaria
Third League - North-East 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Cherno More II in this Third League - North-East 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cherno More II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cherno More II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Ustrem Donchevo haven't matched Cherno More II's recent run of results.
- Model gives Cherno More II a 85% chance of winning this.
- Regular Third League - North-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Ustrem Donchevo Clean Sheet 10%
Cherno More II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ustrem Donchevo | Cherno More II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.1 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.37 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 8, 2026 Third League - North-East
Ustrem Donchevo vs Cherno More II
1:3
Aug 30, 2025 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Ustrem Donchevo
1:2
May 11, 2025 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Ustrem Donchevo
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Third League - North-East
Ustrem Donchevo vs Cherno More II
1:4
Apr 14, 2024 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Ustrem Donchevo
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ustrem Donchevo 10 / 100
Cherno More II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ustrem Donchevo Cherno More II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cherno More II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ustrem Donchevo scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Cherno More II conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
Cherno More II's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Ustrem Donchevo VS Cherno More II
2 Goals Scored 1.75
3.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ustrem Donchevo
(Home) 20 Sept
Benkovski
3 : 2 Ustrem Donchevo
12 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 4 Volov Shumen
05 Sept
FK Riltzi
4 : 1 Ustrem Donchevo
29 Aug
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 3 Svetkavitsa 2014
26 Aug
Botev Novi Pazar
5 : 1 Ustrem Donchevo
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 4 Volov Shumen
29 Aug
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 3 Svetkavitsa 2014
22 Aug
Ustrem Donchevo
3 : 4 Olympic Varna
23 May
Ustrem Donchevo
3 : 2 Benkovski
13 May
Ustrem Donchevo
3 : 0 Svetkavitsa
Page 1 of 4
Cherno More II
(Away) 20 Sept
Cherno More II
2 : 0 Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Cherno More II
3 : 1 Aksakovo
29 Aug
Cherno More II
0 : 1 Chernomorets Balchik
26 Aug
Cherno More II
4 : 1 Chernolomets
22 Aug
Ludogorets III
2 : 1 Cherno More II
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Ludogorets III
2 : 1 Cherno More II
23 May
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 0 Cherno More II
13 May
Spartak Varna II
0 : 3 Cherno More II
25 Apr
Fratria II
1 : 1 Cherno More II
16 Apr
Benkovski
0 : 2 Cherno More II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chernomorets Balchik | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 92:14 | 85 |
| 2 | Ludogorets III | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 101:19 | 79 |
| 3 | Septemvri Tervel | 32 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 89:22 | 78 |
| 4 | Volov Shumen | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 93:28 | 72 |
| 5 | Chernolomets | 32 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 78:43 | 63 |
| 6 | Benkovski | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 68:40 | 60 |
| 7 | Cherno More II | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 65:44 | 55 |
| 8 | Ustrem Donchevo | 32 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 73:67 | 54 |
| 9 | Olympic Varna | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 58:80 | 36 |
| 10 | Aksakovo | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 40:68 | 31 |
| 11 | Fratria II | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 40:71 | 30 |
| 12 | Svetkavitsa 2014 | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26:48 | 29 |
| 13 | Botev Novi Pazar | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34:69 | 29 |
| 14 | Dorostol | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 29:67 | 28 |
| 15 | Spartak Varna II | 32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 42:72 | 26 |
| 16 | FK Riltzi | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 31:83 | 22 |
| 17 | Svetkavitsa | 32 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 5:129 | 1 |
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)
