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Ustrem Donchevo vs Dorostol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ustrem Donchevo host Dorostol in the Third League - North-East. This has Ustrem Donchevo written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Ustrem Donchevo at 1.97 goals for, 2.29 against; Dorostol at 0.79 for, 2.52 against. Head-to-head, Ustrem Donchevo have won 3 to Dorostol's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 2.50 vs 2.19, favoring Ustrem Donchevo. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ustrem Donchevo
20%
Draws
40%
Dorostol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Dorostol haven't matched Ustrem Donchevo's recent run of results.
  • Ustrem Donchevo are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ustrem Donchevo Clean Sheet 10%
Dorostol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ustrem Donchevo Dorostol
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 3
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 1.97 0.79
Goals Conceded 2.29 2.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Third League - North-East
Ustrem Donchevo vs Dorostol
4:1
Nov 1, 2025 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Ustrem Donchevo
1:0
May 17, 2025 Third League - North-East
Ustrem Donchevo vs Dorostol
1:1
Nov 16, 2024 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Ustrem Donchevo
0:1
May 26, 2024 Third League - North-East
Ustrem Donchevo vs Dorostol
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ustrem Donchevo 38 / 100
Dorostol 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ustrem Donchevo Dorostol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ustrem Donchevo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ustrem Donchevo found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Dorostol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Dorostol's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ustrem Donchevo VS Dorostol
2.25 Goals Scored 1
3.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ustrem Donchevo

(Home)
03 Oct
Devnya 2005
2 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1
Septemvri Tervel
20 Sept
Benkovski
3 : 2
Ustrem Donchevo
12 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 4
Volov Shumen
05 Sept
FK Riltzi
4 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
Page 1 of 7

Dorostol

(Away)
03 Oct
Dorostol
1 : 2
Fratria II
19 Sept
Devnya 2005
2 : 2
Dorostol
06 Sept
Benkovski
5 : 1
Dorostol
29 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 3
Volov Shumen
26 Aug
FK Riltzi
1 : 0
Dorostol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svetkavitsa 2014 8 5 1 2 14:5 16
2 Ludogorets III 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
3 Volov Shumen 7 5 1 1 24:6 16
4 Chernolomets 7 4 2 1 16:6 14
5 Chernomorets Balchik 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
6 Septemvri Tervel 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
7 Benkovski 5 3 1 1 13:6 10
8 Cherno More II 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
9 Botev Novi Pazar 6 2 3 1 12:9 9
10 FK Riltzi 7 3 0 4 8:15 9
11 Fratria II 8 3 0 5 9:24 9
12 Septemvri Dragoevo 7 2 2 3 12:17 8
13 Devnya 2005 7 2 0 4 8:12 9
14 Olympic Varna 7 2 0 5 15:21 6
15 Aksakovo 6 1 1 4 9:20 4
16 Ustrem Donchevo 8 0 1 7 13:26 1
17 Dorostol 6 0 0 5 2:18 0
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