Sport Picks
Ustrem Donchevo vs Volov Shumen Prediction & H2H Stats
Bulgaria
Third League - North-East 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Volov Shumen in this Third League - North-East 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Volov Shumen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
7%
15%
78%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Volov Shumen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
78%
/ Very High Confidence
- Volov Shumen have won more games recently than Ustrem Donchevo.
- Model gives Volov Shumen a 78% chance of winning this.
- Regular Third League - North-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Volov Shumen have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ustrem Donchevo Clean Sheet 10%
Volov Shumen Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ustrem Donchevo | Volov Shumen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 23 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 3.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.34 | 0.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 4.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Third League - North-East
Ustrem Donchevo vs Volov Shumen
2:4
Apr 15, 2026 Third League - North-East
Ustrem Donchevo vs Volov Shumen
0:6
Oct 11, 2025 Third League - North-East
Volov Shumen vs Ustrem Donchevo
4:3
Apr 5, 2025 Third League - North-East
Volov Shumen vs Ustrem Donchevo
4:0
Sep 28, 2024 Third League - North-East
Ustrem Donchevo vs Volov Shumen
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ustrem Donchevo 10 / 100
Volov Shumen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ustrem Donchevo Volov Shumen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Volov Shumen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ustrem Donchevo scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 5.40 goals.
Volov Shumen has conceded goals in 40% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Ustrem Donchevo stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ustrem Donchevo VS Volov Shumen
2 Goals Scored 4.88
3.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Ustrem Donchevo
(Home) 26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1 Septemvri Tervel
20 Sept
Benkovski
3 : 2 Ustrem Donchevo
12 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 4 Volov Shumen
05 Sept
FK Riltzi
4 : 1 Ustrem Donchevo
29 Aug
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 3 Svetkavitsa 2014
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1 Septemvri Tervel
12 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 4 Volov Shumen
29 Aug
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 3 Svetkavitsa 2014
22 Aug
Ustrem Donchevo
3 : 4 Olympic Varna
23 May
Ustrem Donchevo
3 : 2 Benkovski
Page 1 of 4
Volov Shumen
(Away) 26 Sept
Ludogorets III
2 : 1 Volov Shumen
19 Sept
Volov Shumen
4 : 1 Septemvri Dragoevo
12 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 4 Volov Shumen
05 Sept
Volov Shumen
9 : 0 Fratria II
29 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 3 Volov Shumen
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Ludogorets III
2 : 1 Volov Shumen
12 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 4 Volov Shumen
29 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 3 Volov Shumen
22 Aug
Septemvri Tervel
1 : 1 Volov Shumen
30 May
Fratria II
0 : 7 Volov Shumen
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chernomorets Balchik | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 92:14 | 85 |
| 2 | Ludogorets III | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 101:19 | 79 |
| 3 | Septemvri Tervel | 32 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 89:22 | 78 |
| 4 | Volov Shumen | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 93:28 | 72 |
| 5 | Chernolomets | 32 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 78:43 | 63 |
| 6 | Benkovski | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 68:40 | 60 |
| 7 | Cherno More II | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 65:44 | 55 |
| 8 | Ustrem Donchevo | 32 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 73:67 | 54 |
| 9 | Olympic Varna | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 58:80 | 36 |
| 10 | Aksakovo | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 40:68 | 31 |
| 11 | Fratria II | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 40:71 | 30 |
| 12 | Svetkavitsa 2014 | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26:48 | 29 |
| 13 | Botev Novi Pazar | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34:69 | 29 |
| 14 | Dorostol | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 29:67 | 28 |
| 15 | Spartak Varna II | 32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 42:72 | 26 |
| 16 | FK Riltzi | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 31:83 | 22 |
| 17 | Svetkavitsa | 32 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 5:129 | 1 |
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)
