Sport Picks
Match Events
83'
83'
van Son D.
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2024/2025 game between USV Hercules and Ajax (Am) finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ajax (Am).
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USV Hercules
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and USV Hercules come out ahead of Ajax (Am) on wins alone.
- Model gives USV Hercules a 85% chance of winning this.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
USV Hercules Clean Sheet 19%
Ajax (Am) Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | USV Hercules | Ajax (Am) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.71 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 16, 2025 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs Ajax (Am)
0:1
Oct 12, 2024 Derde Divisie
Ajax (Am) vs USV Hercules
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
USV Hercules Compare
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16
Ajax (Am) Compare
Top Goalscorer van Son D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
USV Hercules 85 / 100
Ajax (Am) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
USV Hercules Ajax (Am)
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick USV Hercules Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ajax (Am) let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Difficult form: Ajax (Am) registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
USV Hercules's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
USV Hercules VS Ajax (Am)
2.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
USV Hercules
(Home) 27 Sept
HVV Hollandia
0 : 3 USV Hercules
20 Sept
USV Hercules
2 : 4 TEC
12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2 USV Hercules
05 Sept
USV Hercules
0 : 3 ACV Assen
02 Sept
USV Hercules
1 : 3 EVV
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
USV Hercules
2 : 4 TEC
05 Sept
USV Hercules
0 : 3 ACV Assen
02 Sept
USV Hercules
1 : 3 EVV
22 Aug
USV Hercules
0 : 4 Genemuiden
16 May
USV Hercules
4 : 0 Harkemase Boys
Page 1 of 3
Ajax (Am)
(Away) 02 Sept
VVSB
2 : 0 Ajax (Am)
29 Jul
Ajax (Am)
3 : 4 Jong Almere City
04 Jun
Ajax (Am)
0 : 1 Kampong
31 May
Kampong
4 : 2 Ajax (Am)
24 May
Genemuiden
1 : 0 Ajax (Am)
Page 1 of 6
02 Sept
VVSB
2 : 0 Ajax (Am)
31 May
Kampong
4 : 2 Ajax (Am)
24 May
Genemuiden
1 : 0 Ajax (Am)
10 May
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 1 Ajax (Am)
19 Apr
DVS '33 Ermelo
4 : 2 Ajax (Am)
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 98:35 | 82 |
| 2 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 74:46 | 70 |
| 3 | Sportlust | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 78:37 | 67 |
| 4 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 78:52 | 65 |
| 5 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 68:50 | 58 |
| 6 | USV Hercules | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 65:56 | 54 |
| 7 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43:39 | 52 |
| 8 | Genemuiden | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 52:44 | 48 |
| 9 | Urk | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 56:67 | 47 |
| 10 | Eemdijk | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 64:66 | 43 |
| 11 | TEC | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:56 | 42 |
| 12 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 63:68 | 40 |
| 13 | HSC '21 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 50:66 | 40 |
| 14 | Huizen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 44:62 | 36 |
| 15 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 46:71 | 36 |
| 16 | Ajax (Am) | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 48:64 | 35 |
| 17 | DEM | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 43:85 | 30 |
| 18 | HBC | 34 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 40:92 | 10 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 77:33 | 70 |
| 2 | Kozakken Boys | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 72:29 | 64 |
| 3 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 73:45 | 64 |
| 4 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66:42 | 61 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:50 | 58 |
| 6 | Lisse | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55:41 | 54 |
| 7 | UNA | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 51:48 | 53 |
| 8 | VVSB | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:61 | 51 |
| 9 | SteDoCo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 57:46 | 48 |
| 10 | Meerssen | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:50 | 45 |
| 11 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 63:72 | 45 |
| 12 | ASWH | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 59:73 | 42 |
| 13 | TOGB | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 55:53 | 41 |
| 14 | GOES | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 53:65 | 39 |
| 15 | OJC Rosmalen | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 45:58 | 39 |
| 16 | FC 's-Gravenzande | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 51:69 | 34 |
| 17 | Smitshoek | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 53:94 | 25 |
| 18 | HV & CV Quick | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 42:105 | 19 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
