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USV Hercules vs Staphorst - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

USV Hercules host Staphorst in the Derde Divisie. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: USV Hercules at 1.7 goals for, 1.67 against; Staphorst at 1.6 for, 2 against. Past meetings favor USV Hercules slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.69) point toward USV Hercules. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
USV Hercules
15%
Draws
39%
Staphorst
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USV Hercules

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and USV Hercules come out ahead of Staphorst on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on USV Hercules taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
USV Hercules Clean Sheet 13%
Staphorst Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USV Hercules Staphorst
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.7 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.67 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs Staphorst
3:2
Aug 16, 2025 Derde Divisie
Staphorst vs USV Hercules
2:0
Apr 20, 2024 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs Staphorst
3:2
Nov 18, 2023 Derde Divisie
Staphorst vs USV Hercules
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USV Hercules 39 / 100
Staphorst 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USV Hercules Staphorst

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USV Hercules Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Staphorst's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: USV Hercules scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: USV Hercules remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

USV Hercules VS Staphorst
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

USV Hercules

(Home)
17 Oct
Eemdijk
2 : 0
USV Hercules
10 Oct
USV Hercules
0 : 0
Sportlust
03 Oct
USV Hercules
1 : 0
DVS '33 Ermelo
27 Sept
HVV Hollandia
0 : 3
USV Hercules
20 Sept
USV Hercules
2 : 4
TEC
Page 1 of 6

Staphorst

(Away)
17 Oct
Staphorst
2 : 1
DVS '33 Ermelo
10 Oct
HVV Hollandia
2 : 4
Staphorst
03 Oct
Staphorst
0 : 3
TEC
26 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 2
Staphorst
22 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3
Genemuiden
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACV Assen 10 7 2 1 26:10 23
2 VV Scherpenzeel 10 7 2 1 18:10 23
3 Harkemase Boys 10 7 2 1 20:14 23
4 Excelsior 31 10 7 1 2 28:9 22
5 Genemuiden 10 7 0 3 22:15 21
6 TEC 10 6 2 2 29:17 20
7 Sportlust 10 5 4 1 18:14 19
8 Purmersteijn 10 5 3 2 19:12 18
9 Sparta Nijkerk 10 4 2 4 22:21 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 10 4 1 5 24:23 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
12 USV Hercules 10 3 1 6 12:22 10
13 Staphorst 10 2 3 5 16:21 9
14 Eemdijk 9 2 1 6 13:28 7
15 DVS '33 Ermelo 10 1 3 6 13:19 6
16 VV DOVO 10 1 2 7 12:25 5
17 HVV Hollandia 9 1 1 7 16:27 4
18 SVZW Wierden 10 0 1 9 9:28 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 10 8 1 1 22:2 25
2 Lisse 10 8 1 1 22:8 25
3 Excelsior Maassluis 10 7 2 1 21:7 23
4 Rijnvogels 10 6 2 2 25:12 20
5 RKSV UDI 19 10 6 2 2 20:9 20
6 Dongen 10 5 1 4 24:21 16
7 VV Zwaluwen 10 5 1 4 11:14 16
8 SV Poortugaal 10 5 0 5 12:14 15
9 GOES 10 4 2 4 19:25 14
10 Gemert 10 3 4 3 14:17 13
11 Blauw Geel 10 3 3 4 14:14 12
12 Roosendaal 10 3 1 6 18:23 10
13 TOGB 10 2 3 5 16:24 9
14 Groene Ster 10 2 3 5 14:24 9
15 UNA 10 1 5 4 12:16 8
16 VVSB 10 2 2 6 13:21 8
17 Achilles Veen 10 2 0 8 8:22 6
18 EVV 10 0 3 7 11:23 3
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)