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Utah Royals W vs Portland Thorns FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

NWSL Women America First Field, Sandy, UT
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Wilson S.
Assist: Tordin P.
35' Event
Delzer C.
Assist: Palacios K.
47' Event
Delzer C.
Assist: Lacasse C.

AI Match Summary

Utah Royals W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Utah Royals W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Utah Royals W
30%
Draws
29%
Portland Thorns FC W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Utah Royals W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Portland Thorns FC W haven't matched Utah Royals W's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Utah Royals W Clean Sheet 10%
Portland Thorns FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utah Royals W Portland Thorns FC W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.59 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs Portland Thorns FC W
5:1
May 30, 2026 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Utah Royals W
2:2
Aug 30, 2025 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Utah Royals W
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs Portland Thorns FC W
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Utah Royals W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utah Royals W Compare

Top Goalscorer Delzer C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mozingo B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Portland Thorns FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilson S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utah Royals W 30 / 100
Portland Thorns FC W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utah Royals W Portland Thorns FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Utah Royals W's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Portland Thorns FC W has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Utah Royals W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Utah Royals W VS Portland Thorns FC W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Utah Royals W

(Home)
03 Oct
Racing Louisville W
1 : 1
Utah Royals W
27 Sept
Utah Royals W
2 : 1
North Carolina Courage W
20 Sept
Utah Royals W
0 : 3
Angel City W
13 Sept
Houston Dash W
0 : 1
Utah Royals W
05 Sept
Utah Royals W
1 : 2
Boston Legacy W
Page 1 of 6

Portland Thorns FC W

(Away)
04 Oct
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 4
Boston Legacy W
27 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1
Houston Dash W
19 Sept
Orlando Pride W
1 : 4
Portland Thorns FC W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1
Chicago Stars W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2
Washington Spirit W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 27 16 7 4 35:21 55
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 40:28 51
3 Washington Spirit W 27 15 4 8 39:26 49
4 Utah Royals W 27 14 4 9 44:35 46
5 Kansas City Current W 27 13 5 9 48:38 44
6 Angel City W 27 12 7 8 45:29 43
7 Portland Thorns FC W 27 12 7 8 45:39 43
8 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 50:39 42
9 Seattle Reign W 27 12 4 11 33:32 40
10 Denver Summit W 27 10 8 9 45:37 38
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 36:43 33
12 Houston Dash W 27 8 6 13 34:39 30
13 Boston Legacy W 27 8 5 14 36:46 29
14 Bay FC W 27 7 5 15 28:42 26
15 Racing Louisville W 27 7 3 17 36:52 24
16 Chicago Stars W 27 5 2 20 15:63 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)