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Utah Royals W vs Portland Thorns FC W

USA USA

NWSL Women America First Field, Sandy, UT
Sun, Aug 2, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Utah Royals W host Portland Thorns FC W in the NWSL Women. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Utah Royals W at 1.5 goals for, 1.25 against; Portland Thorns FC W at 1.63 for, 1.75 against. Head-to-head, Utah Royals W have won 3 to Portland Thorns FC W's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.44) point toward Utah Royals W. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Utah Royals W
39%
Draws
31%
Portland Thorns FC W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Utah Royals W haven't matched Portland Thorns FC W's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Utah Royals W Clean Sheet 16%
Portland Thorns FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utah Royals W Portland Thorns FC W
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 14 15
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Utah Royals W
2:2
Aug 30, 2025 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Utah Royals W
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs Portland Thorns FC W
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Utah Royals W
1:2
Jul 28, 2024 NWSL x Liga MX Women Summer Cup
Utah Royals W vs Portland Thorns FC W
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utah Royals W 30 / 100
Portland Thorns FC W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utah Royals W Portland Thorns FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UTA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Utah Royals W's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Portland Thorns FC W has conceded goals in 68% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Utah Royals W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Utah Royals W VS Portland Thorns FC W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Utah Royals W

(Home)
25 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 4
Utah Royals W
19 Jul
Utah Royals W
1 : 0
Orlando Pride W
11 Jul
Utah Royals W
1 : 3
Gotham FC W
05 Jul
Chicago Stars W
3 : 2
Utah Royals W
30 May
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 2
Utah Royals W
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Portland Thorns FC W

(Away)
25 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 2
Gotham FC W
18 Jul
Denver Summit W
2 : 1
Portland Thorns FC W
12 Jul
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0
Portland Thorns FC W
05 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
4 : 0
Racing Louisville W
28 Jun
Portland Thorns FC W
3 : 4
San Diego Wave W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Washington Spirit W16103325:1233
2Gotham FC W1694321:1231
3Utah Royals W1693426:1730
4San Diego Wave W1792623:1929
5Portland Thorns FC W1784527:2028
6Kansas City Current W1681723:2325
7Orlando Pride W1772822:2123
8Angel City W1571723:1622
9North Carolina Courage W1563621:2321
10Seattle Reign W1562717:1920
11Denver Summit W1554621:2019
12Houston Dash W1654719:2419
13Boston Legacy W1754818:2319
14Bay FC W1553716:2018
15Chicago Stars W1640128:3112
16Racing Louisville W15321018:2811
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)