Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Utah Royals W vs Racing Louisville W

USA USA

NWSL Women America First Field
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Milliet L.
Own Goal
42'
Sub
Cronin P. In: Spaanstra A.
Out: Cronin P.
45'
Flint T.

AI Match Summary

The NWSL Women game between Utah Royals W and Racing Louisville W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Utah Royals W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Utah Royals W
6%
Draws
4%
Racing Louisville W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Utah Royals W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Utah Royals W come out ahead of Racing Louisville W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Utah Royals W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Utah Royals W Clean Sheet 20%
Racing Louisville W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utah Royals W Racing Louisville W
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs Racing Louisville W
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs Racing Louisville W
3:2
Jun 7, 2025 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Utah Royals W
3:2
Sep 28, 2024 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs Racing Louisville W
1:0
Apr 20, 2024 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Utah Royals W
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utah Royals W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tanaka M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Racing Louisville W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fischer K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utah Royals W 85 / 100
Racing Louisville W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utah Royals W Racing Louisville W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UTA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Utah Royals W found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Racing Louisville W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Difficult form: Racing Louisville W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Utah Royals W VS Racing Louisville W
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Diego Wave W1591521:1528
2Washington Spirit W1483322:1127
3Portland Thorns FC W1583424:1627
4Gotham FC W1483316:827
5Utah Royals W1473421:1624
6Kansas City Current W1480621:2024
7North Carolina Courage W1363420:1621
8Orlando Pride W1562721:2020
9Angel City W1361620:1419
10Seattle Reign W1352613:1617
11Denver Summit W1344519:1816
12Boston Legacy W1544716:2116
13Houston Dash W1443717:2315
14Bay FC W1343613:1915
15Chicago Stars W1440108:2812
16Racing Louisville W13211015:267