Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Utah Royals W vs San Diego Wave W

USA USA

NWSL Women America First Field
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Nagai A.
17'
Prasnikar L.
18' Event
Dudinha

AI Match Summary

The NWSL Women game between Utah Royals W and San Diego Wave W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Diego Wave W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Utah Royals W
44%
Draws
20%
San Diego Wave W
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • San Diego Wave W's 1.88 goals per match outpaces what Utah Royals W have produced (1.5).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and San Diego Wave W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Utah Royals W Clean Sheet 15%
San Diego Wave W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utah Royals W San Diego Wave W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs San Diego Wave W
1:2
Oct 12, 2025 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs San Diego Wave W
2:3
Mar 23, 2025 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Utah Royals W
3:2
Sep 15, 2024 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs San Diego Wave W
1:2
May 9, 2024 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Utah Royals W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utah Royals W Compare

Top Goalscorer Prasnikar L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

San Diego Wave W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dudinha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Godfrey L. E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utah Royals W 35 / 100
San Diego Wave W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utah Royals W San Diego Wave W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Utah Royals W's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: San Diego Wave W conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Utah Royals W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Utah Royals W VS San Diego Wave W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gotham FC W1593319:1030
2San Diego Wave W1692523:1729
3Washington Spirit W1483322:1127
4Portland Thorns FC W1683525:1827
5Utah Royals W1583422:1627
6Kansas City Current W1581623:2225
7Angel City W1471622:1422
8North Carolina Courage W1463520:1921
9Orlando Pride W1662821:2120
10Denver Summit W1454521:1919
11Bay FC W1453616:1918
12Seattle Reign W1452715:1917
13Boston Legacy W1544716:2116
14Houston Dash W1544718:2416
15Chicago Stars W1540118:3012
16Racing Louisville W14221016:278