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Utah Royals W vs Washington Spirit W

USA USA

NWSL Women 2025 America First Field
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Cronin P.
Assist: Prasnikar L.
34'
Rudd T.
46'
Sub
Kingsbury A. In: MacIver S.
Out: Kingsbury A.

AI Match Summary

The NWSL Women 2025 game between Utah Royals W and Washington Spirit W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Utah Royals W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Utah Royals W
39%
Draws
30%
Washington Spirit W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Utah Royals W haven't matched Washington Spirit W's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Utah Royals W Clean Sheet 17%
Washington Spirit W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utah Royals W Washington Spirit W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Utah Royals W
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs Washington Spirit W
1:0
May 17, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Utah Royals W
3:3
Jun 8, 2024 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs Washington Spirit W
0:1
Mar 31, 2024 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Utah Royals W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utah Royals W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cronin P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Washington Spirit W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utah Royals W 31 / 100
Washington Spirit W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utah Royals W Washington Spirit W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Utah Royals W scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Utah Royals W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Washington Spirit W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Utah Royals W VS Washington Spirit W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kansas City Current W26212349:1365
2Washington Spirit W26128642:3344
3Portland Thorns FC W26117836:2940
4Orlando Pride W26117833:2740
5Seattle Reign W26109732:2939
6San Diego Wave W26107941:3437
7Racing Louisville W26107935:3837
8Gotham FC W2699835:2536
9North Carolina Courage W2698937:3935
10Houston Dash W26861227:3930
11Angel City W26761331:4127
12Utah Royals W26671328:4225
13Bay FC W26481426:4120
14Chicago Stars W263111232:5420