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Utah Royals W vs Washington Spirit W

USA USA

NWSL Women America First Field
Thu, Jul 30, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Utah Royals W host Washington Spirit W in the NWSL Women. Little to choose between these two on current form. Washington Spirit W have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Utah Royals W have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.5. Head-to-head, Utah Royals W have won 1 to Washington Spirit W's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 25, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.38, favoring Washington Spirit W. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Utah Royals W
39%
Draws
30%
Washington Spirit W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Utah Royals W haven't matched Washington Spirit W's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Utah Royals W Clean Sheet 17%
Washington Spirit W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utah Royals W Washington Spirit W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Utah Royals W
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs Washington Spirit W
1:0
May 17, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Utah Royals W
3:3
Jun 8, 2024 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs Washington Spirit W
0:1
Mar 31, 2024 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Utah Royals W
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utah Royals W 31 / 100
Washington Spirit W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utah Royals W Washington Spirit W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Utah Royals W found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Utah Royals W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Washington Spirit W conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Utah Royals W VS Washington Spirit W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gotham FC W1593319:1030
2San Diego Wave W1692523:1729
3Washington Spirit W1483322:1127
4Portland Thorns FC W1683525:1827
5Utah Royals W1583422:1627
6Kansas City Current W1581623:2225
7Angel City W1471622:1422
8North Carolina Courage W1463520:1921
9Orlando Pride W1662821:2120
10Denver Summit W1454521:1919
11Bay FC W1453616:1918
12Seattle Reign W1452715:1917
13Boston Legacy W1544716:2116
14Houston Dash W1544718:2416
15Chicago Stars W1540118:3012
16Racing Louisville W14221016:278