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Utebo FC vs CD Calahorra

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Marin D.
49' Event
Acerete C.
67' Event
Suarez D.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Utebo FC and CD Calahorra finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Utebo FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Utebo FC
17%
Draws
70%
CD Calahorra
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: CD Calahorra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Calahorra come out ahead of Utebo FC on wins alone.
  • CD Calahorra are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Utebo FC Clean Sheet 10%
CD Calahorra Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utebo FC CD Calahorra
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 10
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.25 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2025 Club Friendly
Utebo FC vs CD Calahorra
3:1
Apr 27, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
CD Calahorra vs Utebo FC
1:0
Dec 15, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Utebo FC vs CD Calahorra
2:1
Feb 11, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
CD Calahorra vs Utebo FC
1:0
Sep 30, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Utebo FC vs CD Calahorra
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utebo FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Marin D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Suarez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

CD Calahorra Compare

Top Goalscorer Acerete C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utebo FC 14 / 100
CD Calahorra 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utebo FC CD Calahorra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Utebo FC's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

CD Calahorra has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Utebo FC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Utebo FC VS CD Calahorra
1.25 Goals Scored 2.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%