Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Utenis vs FC Vilnius 2

Lithuania Lithuania

Division 2 2005
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Utenis play FC Vilnius 2 in the Division 2 2005. It looks like a close match. Recently, Utenis averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.51 conceded. FC Vilnius 2 averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Utenis won 0, FC Vilnius 2 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 25, 2005 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Utenis and 1.19 for FC Vilnius 2. This points to a FC Vilnius 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Utenis
28%
Draws
38%
FC Vilnius 2
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: FC Vilnius 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Utenis picked up more points recently compared to FC Vilnius 2.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Utenis Clean Sheet 20%
FC Vilnius 2 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utenis FC Vilnius 2
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 12
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.51 1.47

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2005 I Lyga
FC Vilnius 2 vs Utenis
3:1
Jul 9, 2005 I Lyga
Utenis vs FC Vilnius 2
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utenis 35 / 100
FC Vilnius 2 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utenis FC Vilnius 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Vilnius 2 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Utenis attacking → ← attacking FC Vilnius 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Utenis scored in 71% of their last 35 games.

FC Vilnius 2 let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Utenis went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

FC Vilnius 2 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 36
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00