Sport Picks

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Utenis vs Zalgiris 2

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Savenas M.
81' Event
Daunys D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this I Lyga 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Utenis
15%
Draws
69%
Zalgiris 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zalgiris 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Utenis average 1.53 goals a game right now, well clear of Zalgiris 2's 1.38.
  • Zalgiris 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Utenis Clean Sheet 19%
Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utenis Zalgiris 2
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 12 12
Draws 4 10
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.53 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2018 I Lyga
Utenis vs Zalgiris 2
1:1
May 13, 2018 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Utenis
0:1
Nov 2, 2014 I Lyga
Utenis vs Zalgiris 2
2:1
Aug 27, 2014 I Lyga
Utenis vs Zalgiris 2
2:0
Apr 13, 2014 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Utenis
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utenis Compare

Top Goalscorer Savenas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Zalgiris 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Daunys D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utenis 10 / 100
Zalgiris 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utenis Zalgiris 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Zalgiris 2 conceded in 80% of 40 recent games.

Utenis scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Utenis has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Zalgiris 2
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Utenis

(Home)
29 Apr
Utenis
1 : 5
Tauras Taurage
07 May
Utenis
0 : 5
FK Panevezys
22 May
Utenis
0 : 3
Silute
30 Jun
Utenis
0 : 2
FK Sveikata Kybartai
20 Jun
Utenis
2 : 1
Atlantas
Page 1 of 6

Zalgiris 2

(Away)
10 Aug
Zalgiris 2
2 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
01 Aug
Ekranas
1 : 1
Zalgiris 2
28 Jul
Zalgiris 2
1 : 0
FK Minija
21 Jul
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 2
Zalgiris 2
02 Jul
Zalgiris 2
3 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Panevezys 26 18 4 4 77:26 58
2 Dainava Alytus 26 17 6 3 59:22 57
3 Banga 26 18 0 8 51:24 54
4 Nevezis Kedainiai 26 16 5 5 63:31 53
5 Dziugas Telsiai 26 14 3 9 49:34 45
6 Vilniaus Vytis 26 13 5 8 67:44 44
7 FC Pakruojis 26 13 3 10 44:44 42
8 Utenis 26 12 5 9 46:33 41
9 FC Stumbras 2 26 10 6 10 42:37 36
10 BE1 NFA 26 8 3 15 44:45 27
11 Riteriai 2 26 7 5 14 39:59 26
12 Zalgiris 2 26 6 3 17 26:57 21
13 Kupiskis 26 4 2 20 46:91 14
14 Koralas Klaipeda 26 1 0 25 5:111 3
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2018 (Relegation - Play Offs)