Sport Picks
Uthai Thani vs Nakhon Pathom - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Thailand
Thai FA Cup 
Match Events
41'
41'
Lira W.
56'
56'
Weidersjo W.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Uthai Thani
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Uthai Thani carry the better recent record into this one.
- Uthai Thani are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Uthai Thani have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Uthai Thani, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Uthai Thani Clean Sheet 20%
Nakhon Pathom Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Uthai Thani | Nakhon Pathom |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.74 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 20, 2026 Thai FA Cup
Uthai Thani vs Nakhon Pathom
2:0
Dec 27, 2025 League Cup
Nakhon Pathom vs Uthai Thani
0:2
Mar 15, 2025 Thai League 1
Nakhon Pathom vs Uthai Thani
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 Thai League 1
Uthai Thani vs Nakhon Pathom
2:1
Feb 18, 2024 Thai League 1
Uthai Thani vs Nakhon Pathom
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Uthai Thani Compare
Top Goalscorer Lira W.
1 Goals Assists Leader Weidersjo W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Nakhon Pathom Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Uthai Thani 49 / 100
Nakhon Pathom 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Uthai Thani Nakhon Pathom
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Uthai Thani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Uthai Thani found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).
Nakhon Pathom let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Uthai Thani stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Uthai Thani VS Nakhon Pathom
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Uthai Thani
(Home) 17 Oct
Rayong FC
1 : 1 Uthai Thani
10 Oct
Uthai Thani
4 : 2 Rasisalai United
18 Sept
Ayutthaya United
1 : 2 Uthai Thani
12 Sept
Uthai Thani
1 : 2 Pattani
06 Sept
Lamphun Warrior
1 : 4 Uthai Thani
Page 1 of 7
10 Oct
Uthai Thani
4 : 2 Rasisalai United
12 Sept
Uthai Thani
1 : 2 Pattani
29 Aug
Uthai Thani
3 : 1 Chainat Hornbill
29 Apr
Uthai Thani
1 : 1 Bangkok Utd
25 Apr
Uthai Thani
0 : 1 Port MTI FC
Page 1 of 3
Nakhon Pathom
(Away) 17 Oct
Nakhon Pathom
4 : 3 Nong Bua Pitchaya
14 Oct
Chanthaburi
3 : 0 Nakhon Pathom
10 Oct
Nakhon Pathom
1 : 0 Muang Thong Utd
20 Sept
Kasetsart
0 : 0 Nakhon Pathom
16 Sept
Nakhon Pathom
1 : 1 Kanchanaburi
Page 1 of 6
14 Oct
Chanthaburi
3 : 0 Nakhon Pathom
20 Sept
Kasetsart
0 : 0 Nakhon Pathom
13 Sept
Phrae United
0 : 0 Nakhon Pathom
25 Apr
Phrae United
0 : 2 Nakhon Pathom
04 Apr
Mahasarakham
0 : 2 Nakhon Pathom
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Romklao United 1
Sukhothai 0
Dome -
Sisaket United -
Nakhon Phanom United 1
Marines FC 0
Phetchabun -
Banbueng -
See Khwae City 1
Udon Banjan United 2
Udon United 5
Lopburi City 0
Buriram United F.C. -
DPU Thayang FC -
Thap Luang United -
Rayong FC -
Huasamrong 1
Mahasarakham 1
Yala -
Samut Sakhon City -
Ayutthaya United -
Muang Thong Utd -
Chumphon United -
Songkhla -
Rasisalai United -
Port MTI FC -
Kasetsart -
Chanthaburi -
Phetchaburi -
Lopburi FC -
Surindra FC -
Phichit United -
Suphanburi FC 0
Lamphun Warrior 4
Burapha United -
Chiangrai Utd -
Old Blood -
Bangkok Utd -
Police Tero -
Surin City -
Uthai Thani 2
Nakhon Pathom 0
Bangkapi -
PTS -
Khonkaen United -
Pathum United -
Phitsanulok -
Royal Thai Fleet FC -
Pattaya United -
Narathiwat FC -
Muangnont -
Samui United -
Kasem Bundit -
Customs Utd -
Prachuap -
Nonthaburi United -
Bangkok FC -
Nong Bua Pitchaya -
Chonburi 2
Pattaya City 5
Warin Chamrap -
Karin United -
Ratchaburi -
Pattani -
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