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Utiel vs Alzira

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026
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Match Events

36' Event
Moreno A.
45' Event
Bono S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Utiel
35%
Draws
26%
Alzira
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Utiel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alzira lately — more wins on the board than Utiel.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Utiel Clean Sheet 68%
Alzira Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utiel Alzira
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 11 9
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.93 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Alzira vs Utiel
2:2
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Utiel vs Alzira
1:1
Feb 22, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Alzira vs Utiel
1:0
Oct 5, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Utiel vs Alzira
0:1
Jan 19, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Utiel vs Alzira
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utiel Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Alzira Compare

Top Goalscorer Bono S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utiel 41 / 100
Alzira 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utiel Alzira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Utiel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alzira let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Utiel's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Utiel remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Utiel VS Alzira
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Utiel

(Home)
12 Sept
Utiel
1 : 1
Acero
06 Sept
Vall de Uxo
0 : 0
Utiel
28 Aug
Utiel
1 : 3
Ontinyent 1931 CF
21 Aug
Utiel
1 : 1
Vall de Uxo
09 May
Utiel
1 : 0
Vall de Uxo
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Alzira

(Away)
09 May
CD Bunol
1 : 0
Alzira
02 May
Alzira
2 : 2
Utiel
26 Apr
Vall de Uxo
1 : 0
Alzira
19 Apr
Atletico Saguntino
1 : 0
Alzira
11 Apr
Alzira
1 : 0
Espanol de San Vicente
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellonense 34 20 7 7 56:30 67
2 Atletico Saguntino 34 20 6 8 50:30 66
3 Levante B 34 18 11 5 54:26 65
4 Villarreal C 34 19 6 9 63:36 63
5 La Nucia 34 16 13 5 44:26 61
6 CD Bunol 34 13 11 10 34:40 50
7 Vall de Uxo 34 13 10 11 31:29 49
8 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 13 9 12 32:30 48
9 Torrellano 34 13 8 13 40:38 47
10 Soneja 34 13 6 15 35:42 45
11 Hercules B 34 10 11 13 31:46 41
12 Roda 34 11 7 16 32:45 40
13 Crevillente 34 9 11 14 44:49 38
14 Espanol de San Vicente 34 10 8 16 35:44 38
15 Atzeneta 34 10 7 17 29:39 37
16 Utiel 34 7 10 17 30:45 31
17 Alzira 34 7 10 17 32:49 31
18 Recambios Colon 34 2 13 19 27:55 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 (Play Offs)