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Utiel vs Soneja - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Julia V.
60' Event
Julia V.
68' Event
Rolania S.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 game between Utiel and Soneja finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Soneja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Utiel
35%
Draws
37%
Soneja
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Soneja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Utiel haven't matched Soneja's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Utiel Clean Sheet 68%
Soneja Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utiel Soneja
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 13
Draws 11 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Soneja vs Utiel
2:0
Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Utiel vs Soneja
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Soneja vs Utiel
2:0
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Soneja vs Utiel
0:0
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Utiel vs Soneja
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utiel Compare

Top Goalscorer Rolania S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Soneja Compare

Top Goalscorer Julia V.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utiel 41 / 100
Soneja 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utiel Soneja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Utiel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Utiel's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Soneja has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Utiel stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Utiel VS Soneja
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Utiel

(Home)
04 Oct
Atletico Saguntino
3 : 2
Utiel
27 Sept
Utiel
1 : 1
Roda
20 Sept
Soneja
2 : 0
Utiel
12 Sept
Utiel
1 : 1
Acero
06 Sept
Vall de Uxo
0 : 0
Utiel
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Soneja

(Away)
03 Oct
Soneja
1 : 2
Espanol de San Vicente
27 Sept
SC Torrevieja
2 : 0
Soneja
20 Sept
Soneja
2 : 0
Utiel
13 Sept
Crevillente
2 : 2
Soneja
06 Sept
Soneja
0 : 3
Villarreal C
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellonense 34 20 7 7 56:30 67
2 Atletico Saguntino 34 20 6 8 50:30 66
3 Levante B 34 18 11 5 54:26 65
4 Villarreal C 34 19 6 9 63:36 63
5 La Nucia 34 16 13 5 44:26 61
6 CD Bunol 34 13 11 10 34:40 50
7 Vall de Uxo 34 13 10 11 31:29 49
8 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 13 9 12 32:30 48
9 Torrellano 34 13 8 13 40:38 47
10 Soneja 34 13 6 15 35:42 45
11 Hercules B 34 10 11 13 31:46 41
12 Roda 34 11 7 16 32:45 40
13 Crevillente 34 9 11 14 44:49 38
14 Espanol de San Vicente 34 10 8 16 35:44 38
15 Atzeneta 34 10 7 17 29:39 37
16 Utiel 34 7 10 17 30:45 31
17 Alzira 34 7 10 17 32:49 31
18 Recambios Colon 34 2 13 19 27:55 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 (Play Offs)