Sport Picks
Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eredivisie Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht 
Match Events
23'
23'
Stepanov A.
45'
45'
Koopmeiners P.
46'
46'
Sub
Eerdhuijzen M. In: Didden M.
Out: Eerdhuijzen M.
AI Match Summary
AZ Alkmaar in this Eredivisie matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored AZ Alkmaar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AZ Alkmaar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to AZ Alkmaar lately — more wins on the board than Utrecht.
- AZ Alkmaar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Utrecht Clean Sheet 10%
AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Utrecht | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 2.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 3.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Eredivisie
Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar
1:4
Mar 1, 2026 Eredivisie
Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht
4:1
Jan 18, 2025 Eredivisie
Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar
0:0
Sep 29, 2024 Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Utrecht Compare
Top Goalscorer Stepanov A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
AZ Alkmaar Compare
Top Goalscorer Koopmeiners P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Weslley Patati
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.78
Avg xA / game 1.7
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Utrecht 10 / 100
AZ Alkmaar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Utrecht AZ Alkmaar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AZ Alkmaar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:8
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Utrecht's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
AZ Alkmaar has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Utrecht remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Utrecht VS AZ Alkmaar
1.38 Goals Scored 3
3.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Utrecht
(Home) 20 Sept
Feyenoord
5 : 0 Utrecht
13 Sept
Excelsior
1 : 2 Utrecht
08 Sept
Utrecht
3 : 3 G.A. Eagles
30 Aug
Utrecht
1 : 6 PSV
22 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 3 Utrecht
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Utrecht
3 : 3 G.A. Eagles
30 Aug
Utrecht
1 : 6 PSV
15 Aug
Utrecht
1 : 4 AZ Alkmaar
02 Aug
Utrecht
0 : 1 Sevilla
17 Jul
Utrecht
3 : 2 V-Varen Nagasaki
Page 1 of 3
AZ Alkmaar
(Away) 20 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 0 Telstar
16 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0 AZ Alkmaar
11 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 1 Willem II
06 Sept
Heerenveen
2 : 3 AZ Alkmaar
29 Aug
AZ Alkmaar
5 : 2 G.A. Eagles
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0 AZ Alkmaar
06 Sept
Heerenveen
2 : 3 AZ Alkmaar
22 Aug
Sittard
0 : 2 AZ Alkmaar
15 Aug
Utrecht
1 : 4 AZ Alkmaar
02 Aug
PSV
0 : 4 AZ Alkmaar
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24:10 | 16 |
| 4 | Twente | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 16 |
| 5 | Ajax | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 14 |
| 6 | Sittard | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Excelsior | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Groningen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 11 |
| 9 | G.A. Eagles | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 16:14 | 10 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 9 |
| 11 | Nijmegen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:17 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 5 |
| 14 | Cambuur | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Utrecht | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:24 | 5 |
| 16 | Zwolle | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:20 | 4 |
| 17 | Den Haag | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:20 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
