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Stadium Background

Utrecht vs Cambuur - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Utrecht host Cambuur in the Eredivisie. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Utrecht have averaged 1.59 scored and 1.72 conceded recently, against Cambuur's 1.61 scored and 1.89 conceded. Head-to-head, Utrecht have won 3 to Cambuur's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 24, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 2.44) point toward Utrecht. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Utrecht
30%
Draws
37%
Cambuur
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cambuur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Utrecht carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Cambuur taking it.
  • Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Utrecht Clean Sheet 10%
Cambuur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utrecht Cambuur
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.59 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Cambuur vs Utrecht
0:1
Jul 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Cambuur vs Utrecht
1:0
May 6, 2023 Eredivisie
Cambuur vs Utrecht
0:3
Aug 13, 2022 Eredivisie
Utrecht vs Cambuur
0:0
Feb 5, 2022 Eredivisie
Utrecht vs Cambuur
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utrecht 14 / 100
Cambuur 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utrecht Cambuur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cambuur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cambuur's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Utrecht scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Utrecht stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Utrecht VS Cambuur
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Utrecht

(Home)
24 Oct
Utrecht
1 : 1
Zwolle
18 Oct
Twente
1 : 2
Utrecht
11 Oct
Utrecht
3 : 1
Willem II
20 Sept
Feyenoord
5 : 0
Utrecht
13 Sept
Excelsior
1 : 2
Utrecht
Page 1 of 6

Cambuur

(Away)
24 Oct
Willem II
1 : 6
Cambuur
18 Oct
Cambuur
2 : 2
AZ Alkmaar
11 Oct
Zwolle
0 : 1
Cambuur
19 Sept
Den Haag
1 : 1
Cambuur
12 Sept
Cambuur
3 : 0
Nijmegen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 10 7 3 0 32:11 24
2 Ajax 10 6 3 1 29:13 21
3 PSV 10 6 2 2 28:13 20
4 Twente 10 6 2 2 19:10 20
5 AZ Alkmaar 10 6 2 2 20:12 20
6 Sittard 10 5 3 2 17:17 18
7 Heerenveen 10 4 3 3 18:13 15
8 Groningen 10 4 3 3 24:21 15
9 G.A. Eagles 10 3 5 2 23:23 14
10 Cambuur 10 3 3 4 19:22 12
11 Utrecht 10 3 3 4 17:27 12
12 Nijmegen 10 2 5 3 17:18 11
13 Excelsior 10 3 2 5 16:19 11
14 Sparta Rotterdam 10 2 3 5 17:24 9
15 Zwolle 10 2 2 6 11:23 8
16 Telstar 10 1 3 6 12:21 6
17 Den Haag 10 1 3 6 13:23 6
18 Willem II 10 0 2 8 10:32 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)