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Utrecht vs Zwolle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Utrecht host Zwolle in the Eredivisie. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Utrecht have averaged 1.55 scored and 1.72 conceded recently, against Zwolle's 1.18 scored and 2.21 conceded. Head-to-head, Utrecht have won 3 to Zwolle's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.94) point toward Utrecht. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Utrecht
20%
Draws
10%
Zwolle
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Utrecht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Utrecht carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Utrecht a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Utrecht Clean Sheet 10%
Zwolle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utrecht Zwolle
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.55 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Eredivisie
Utrecht vs Zwolle
1:1
Aug 31, 2025 Eredivisie
Zwolle vs Utrecht
0:2
Feb 1, 2025 Eredivisie
Zwolle vs Utrecht
3:3
Aug 11, 2024 Eredivisie
Utrecht vs Zwolle
1:0
Apr 3, 2024 Eredivisie
Utrecht vs Zwolle
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utrecht 83 / 100
Zwolle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utrecht Zwolle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Utrecht Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zwolle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Utrecht found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Utrecht went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Utrecht VS Zwolle
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Utrecht

(Home)
11 Oct
Utrecht
3 : 1
Willem II
20 Sept
Feyenoord
5 : 0
Utrecht
13 Sept
Excelsior
1 : 2
Utrecht
08 Sept
Utrecht
3 : 3
G.A. Eagles
30 Aug
Utrecht
1 : 6
PSV
Page 1 of 6

Zwolle

(Away)
11 Oct
Zwolle
0 : 1
Cambuur
18 Sept
Groningen
3 : 0
Zwolle
13 Sept
Zwolle
0 : 7
Feyenoord
04 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2
Zwolle
29 Aug
Zwolle
1 : 3
Nijmegen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 8 6 2 0 27:7 20
2 PSV 8 6 1 1 26:10 19
3 AZ Alkmaar 8 6 1 1 18:8 19
4 Twente 8 5 2 1 16:8 17
5 Ajax 8 4 3 1 22:10 15
6 Groningen 8 4 2 2 20:14 14
7 Sittard 8 4 2 2 14:15 14
8 Heerenveen 9 3 3 3 15:11 12
9 G.A. Eagles 8 2 5 1 19:17 11
10 Excelsior 9 3 2 4 16:18 11
11 Nijmegen 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
12 Cambuur 8 2 2 4 11:19 8
13 Utrecht 8 2 2 4 14:25 8
14 Sparta Rotterdam 8 1 3 4 13:20 6
15 Telstar 8 1 3 4 7:14 6
16 Zwolle 8 1 1 6 6:21 4
17 Den Haag 8 0 3 5 9:19 3
18 Willem II 8 0 2 6 7:23 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)