Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Utrecht W vs Ajax W

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Noordman D.
28'
Mahieu L.
46'
Sub
Paliama J. In: Renfurm R.
Out: Paliama J.

AI Match Summary

The Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 game between Utrecht W and Ajax W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ajax W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Utrecht W
15%
Draws
76%
Ajax W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajax W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ajax W come out ahead of Utrecht W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ajax W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ajax W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Utrecht W Clean Sheet 17%
Ajax W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utrecht W Ajax W
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 18
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.56 2.28
Goals Conceded 1.89 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Utrecht W vs Ajax W
0:1
Mar 15, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Utrecht W vs Ajax W
0:2
Dec 7, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Ajax W vs Utrecht W
8:0
Mar 16, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Utrecht W vs Ajax W
1:1
Nov 16, 2024 Eredivisie Women
Ajax W vs Utrecht W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utrecht W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Ajax W Compare

Top Goalscorer Noordman D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utrecht W 10 / 100
Ajax W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utrecht W Ajax W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ajax W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Utrecht W scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Ajax W let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Utrecht W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Utrecht W VS Ajax W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Utrecht W

(Home)
27 Sept
Heerenveen W
2 : 0
Utrecht W
19 Sept
Utrecht W
0 : 3
Feyenoord W
13 Sept
Utrecht W
3 : 4
PEC Zwolle W
06 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 0
Utrecht W
22 Aug
PSV W
1 : 1
Utrecht W
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Ajax W

(Away)
30 Sept
Aktobe W
1 : 0
Ajax W
26 Sept
Ajax W
7 : 1
Den Haag W
23 Sept
Ajax W
8 : 0
Aktobe W
19 Sept
Ajax W
5 : 1
AZ Alkmaar W
13 Sept
Heerenveen W
3 : 1
Ajax W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSV W 22 17 3 2 56:15 54
2 Ajax W 22 15 5 2 55:18 50
3 Feyenoord W 22 14 5 3 45:17 47
4 Twente W 22 14 4 4 55:19 46
5 Utrecht W 22 11 4 7 41:37 37
6 PEC Zwolle W 22 11 1 10 35:32 34
7 Heerenveen W 22 8 2 12 38:51 26
8 AZ Alkmaar W 22 6 6 10 36:46 24
9 Den Haag W 22 6 4 12 24:45 22
10 Hera United W 22 5 5 12 24:42 20
11 SBV Excelsior W 22 2 2 18 18:51 8
12 NAC Breda W 22 2 1 19 17:71 7
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)