Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Utrecht W vs NAC Breda W

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Aurelio S.
46'
Sub
van Straten D. In: Snellenberg M.
Out: van Straten D.
57'
Paliama J.

AI Match Summary

The Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 game between Utrecht W and NAC Breda W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Utrecht W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Utrecht W
15%
Draws
0%
NAC Breda W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Utrecht W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Utrecht W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Utrecht W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • Utrecht W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Utrecht W Clean Sheet 68%
NAC Breda W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utrecht W NAC Breda W
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 13 5
Draws 5 1
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.67 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.8 3.52
Expected Goals (xG) 3.77 1.09
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Utrecht W vs NAC Breda W
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Eredivisie Women
NAC Breda W vs Utrecht W
1:3
Aug 30, 2024 Club Friendly Women
Utrecht W vs NAC Breda W
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utrecht W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tromp N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.9
Avg xA / game 1.89

NAC Breda W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utrecht W 95 / 100
NAC Breda W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utrecht W NAC Breda W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Utrecht W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: NAC Breda W conceded in 93% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Difficult form: NAC Breda W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Utrecht W's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Utrecht W VS NAC Breda W
1.75 Goals Scored 0.8
1.38 Goals Conceded 5.8
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Utrecht W

(Home)
27 Sept
Heerenveen W
2 : 0
Utrecht W
19 Sept
Utrecht W
0 : 3
Feyenoord W
13 Sept
Utrecht W
3 : 4
PEC Zwolle W
06 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 0
Utrecht W
22 Aug
PSV W
1 : 1
Utrecht W
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NAC Breda W

(Away)
01 Aug
PEC Zwolle W
16 : 1
NAC Breda W
22 May
Feyenoord W
3 : 0
NAC Breda W
08 May
NAC Breda W
0 : 3
Twente W
03 May
Den Haag W
4 : 2
NAC Breda W
26 Apr
NAC Breda W
1 : 3
Hera United W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSV W 22 17 3 2 56:15 54
2 Ajax W 22 15 5 2 55:18 50
3 Feyenoord W 22 14 5 3 45:17 47
4 Twente W 22 14 4 4 55:19 46
5 Utrecht W 22 11 4 7 41:37 37
6 PEC Zwolle W 22 11 1 10 35:32 34
7 Heerenveen W 22 8 2 12 38:51 26
8 AZ Alkmaar W 22 6 6 10 36:46 24
9 Den Haag W 22 6 4 12 24:45 22
10 Hera United W 22 5 5 12 24:42 20
11 SBV Excelsior W 22 2 2 18 18:51 8
12 NAC Breda W 22 2 1 19 17:71 7
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)