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Utrillas vs Brea

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 game between Utrillas and Brea finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Utrillas
35%
Draws
42%
Brea
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Brea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Brea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Brea a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Utrillas Clean Sheet 11%
Brea Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utrillas Brea
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 14 8
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.06 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Utrillas vs Brea
0:0
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Brea vs Utrillas
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utrillas 10 / 100
Brea 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utrillas Brea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brea has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Utrillas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Utrillas's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Utrillas VS Brea
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Utrillas

(Home)
10 May
Utrillas
1 : 2
CD Caspe
03 May
Binefar
5 : 0
Utrillas
26 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3
UD Casetas
19 Apr
Zuera
0 : 2
Utrillas
12 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3
La Almunia
Page 1 of 7

Brea

(Away)
20 Sept
CD Sietamo
1 : 1
Brea
12 Sept
Brea
3 : 0
CF Illueca
06 Sept
CD Belchite 97
1 : 1
Brea
11 May
Brea
0 : 0
CD Caspe
04 May
Ebro
1 : 2
Brea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebro 34 19 8 7 49:20 65
2 Huesca B 34 17 7 10 49:36 58
3 CD Cuarte 34 15 12 7 38:25 57
4 Atletico Monzon 34 16 9 9 52:35 57
5 Binefar 34 14 14 6 44:27 56
6 Zuera 34 13 10 11 38:29 49
7 Calamocha 34 11 14 9 41:37 47
8 Epila 34 12 11 11 31:30 47
9 Tamarite 34 12 10 12 41:43 46
10 Utrillas 34 10 11 13 29:39 41
11 CD Caspe 34 10 11 13 27:31 41
12 Andorra CF 34 8 16 10 34:38 40
13 Almudevar 34 9 12 13 30:36 39
14 CD Belchite 97 34 9 12 13 35:34 39
15 La Almunia 34 11 6 17 33:45 39
16 Fraga 34 9 10 15 38:53 37
17 Brea 34 9 8 17 26:43 35
18 Fuentes 34 9 5 20 20:54 32
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 (Play Offs)