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Utrillas vs Fraga

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
San Agustin C.
73' Event
Victor
(Penalty)
85' Event
Kombe M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 game between Utrillas and Fraga finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Utrillas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Utrillas
30%
Draws
47%
Fraga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fraga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fraga come out ahead of Utrillas on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Fraga taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Utrillas have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Utrillas Clean Sheet 11%
Fraga Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utrillas Fraga
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 14 8
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.12 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Utrillas vs Fraga
2:1
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs Utrillas
2:1
Mar 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Utrillas vs Fraga
2:1
Nov 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs Utrillas
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utrillas Compare

Top Goalscorer Kombe M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Fraga Compare

Top Goalscorer San Agustin C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utrillas 22 / 100
Fraga 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utrillas Fraga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fraga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fraga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Utrillas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Utrillas scored in 58% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Utrillas VS Fraga
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Utrillas

(Home)
10 May
Utrillas
1 : 2
CD Caspe
03 May
Binefar
5 : 0
Utrillas
26 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3
UD Casetas
19 Apr
Zuera
0 : 2
Utrillas
12 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3
La Almunia
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Fraga

(Away)
20 Sept
Atletico Monzon
0 : 0
Fraga
13 Sept
Fraga
3 : 1
Almudevar
05 Sept
Robres
1 : 2
Fraga
11 May
Almudevar
5 : 1
Fraga
04 May
Fraga
2 : 0
Andorra CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebro 34 19 8 7 49:20 65
2 Huesca B 34 17 7 10 49:36 58
3 CD Cuarte 34 15 12 7 38:25 57
4 Atletico Monzon 34 16 9 9 52:35 57
5 Binefar 34 14 14 6 44:27 56
6 Zuera 34 13 10 11 38:29 49
7 Calamocha 34 11 14 9 41:37 47
8 Epila 34 12 11 11 31:30 47
9 Tamarite 34 12 10 12 41:43 46
10 Utrillas 34 10 11 13 29:39 41
11 CD Caspe 34 10 11 13 27:31 41
12 Andorra CF 34 8 16 10 34:38 40
13 Almudevar 34 9 12 13 30:36 39
14 CD Belchite 97 34 9 12 13 35:34 39
15 La Almunia 34 11 6 17 33:45 39
16 Fraga 34 9 10 15 38:53 37
17 Brea 34 9 8 17 26:43 35
18 Fuentes 34 9 5 20 20:54 32
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 (Play Offs)