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Uttar Pradesh vs Haryana

India India

Santosh Trophy
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uttar Pradesh play Haryana in the Santosh Trophy. It looks like a close match. Recently, Uttar Pradesh averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Haryana averaged 1.05 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Uttar Pradesh won 0, Haryana won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Dec 21, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Uttar Pradesh and 1.31 for Haryana. This points to a Uttar Pradesh double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Uttar Pradesh
15%
Draws
35%
Haryana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uttar Pradesh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Uttar Pradesh picked up more points recently compared to Haryana.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Uttar Pradesh Clean Sheet 18%
Haryana Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uttar Pradesh Haryana
Matches Played 20 19
Wins 8 6
Draws 4 2
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.2 1.05
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 21, 2025 Santosh Trophy
Uttar Pradesh vs Haryana
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uttar Pradesh Compare

Top Goalscorer Singh Yadav S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Haryana Compare

Top Goalscorer Dagar R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uttar Pradesh 49 / 100
Haryana 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uttar Pradesh Haryana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Uttar Pradesh or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Uttar Pradesh attacking → ← attacking Haryana

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uttar Pradesh scored in 65% of their last 20 games.

Haryana let in goals in 74% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Uttar Pradesh went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Haryana lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 20
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.25
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Punjab FT330010:09
2Jammu Kashmir (J&K)32016:16
3Ladakh31021:63
4Himachal Pradesh30030:100
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Uttarakhand33005:09
2Haryana31113:34
3Chandigarh31021:33
4Uttar Pradesh30121:41
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1Railways321013:07
2Delhi football team321010:17
3Jharkhand31022:143
4Bihar30030:100
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1Nagaland32105:17
2Manipur32018:56
3Mizoram31022:43
4Tripura30122:71
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1Meghalaya21013:33
2Arunachal21012:23
3Sikkim FA21012:23
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1Odisha football team33008:19
2Telangana32016:26
3Chhattisgarh31025:53
4Madhya Pradesh30030:110
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tamilnadu330014:09
2Pondicherry32015:56
3Andhra Pradesh31022:83
4Andamans & Nicobar30031:90
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Services33008:29
2Goa FT31113:54
3Karnataka31024:43
4Lakshadweep30122:61
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rajasthan FC321010:17
2Gujarat32109:17
3Maharashtra31024:63
4DNHDD FT30030:150