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UWA Nedlands vs Gwelup Croatia SC

Australia Australia

WA State League UWA Sports Park
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Match Events

52' Event
Turner J.
80' Event
Perez H.

AI Match Summary

The WA State League game between UWA Nedlands and Gwelup Croatia SC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UWA Nedlands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
UWA Nedlands
6%
Draws
4%
Gwelup Croatia SC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UWA Nedlands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UWA Nedlands come out ahead of Gwelup Croatia SC on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on UWA Nedlands taking it.
  • Regular WA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
UWA Nedlands Clean Sheet 20%
Gwelup Croatia SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UWA Nedlands Gwelup Croatia SC
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 WA State League
UWA Nedlands vs Gwelup Croatia SC
2:0
Mar 28, 2026 WA State League
Gwelup Croatia SC vs UWA Nedlands
1:1
Feb 20, 2026 Club Friendly
UWA Nedlands vs Gwelup Croatia SC
2:2
Jun 14, 2025 WA State League
UWA Nedlands vs Gwelup Croatia SC
4:0
Apr 5, 2025 WA State League
Gwelup Croatia SC vs UWA Nedlands
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UWA Nedlands Compare

Top Goalscorer Turner J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Gwelup Croatia SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UWA Nedlands 85 / 100
Gwelup Croatia SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UWA Nedlands Gwelup Croatia SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UWA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UWA Nedlands's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Gwelup Croatia SC let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

UWA Nedlands went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UWA Nedlands VS Gwelup Croatia SC
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Floreat Athena17123240:1739
2UWA Nedlands17112439:2235
3Mandurah City17102542:3132
4Joondalup City17101631:2531
5Inglewood Utd1783617:1827
6Kingsley Westside1781827:2425
7Gwelup Croatia SC1756625:3121
8Quinns1763822:3321
9Cockburn City1754828:3519
10Murdoch University Melville1737728:3416
11Subiaco17411228:4013
12Curtin University17231214:319