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Uxbridge vs Basingstoke - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Le Paih L.
65' Event
Okine-Peters J.
76' Event
Nnadozie T.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South game between Uxbridge and Basingstoke finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uxbridge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Uxbridge
30%
Draws
9%
Basingstoke
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Uxbridge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Uxbridge carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Uxbridge a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Uxbridge have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Uxbridge Clean Sheet 20%
Basingstoke Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uxbridge Basingstoke
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 18 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 2.28 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Uxbridge vs Basingstoke
2:1
Jan 31, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Uxbridge
1:1
Oct 11, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Uxbridge vs Basingstoke
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uxbridge Compare

Top Goalscorer Le Paih L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nnadozie T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Basingstoke Compare

Top Goalscorer Okine-Peters J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uxbridge 85 / 100
Basingstoke 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uxbridge Basingstoke

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uxbridge Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Uxbridge scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Basingstoke's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Uxbridge has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Uxbridge VS Basingstoke
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Uxbridge

(Home)
03 Oct
Uxbridge
3 : 1
Hungerford
29 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 1
Basingstoke
26 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 1
Lewes
22 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 2
Uxbridge
19 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 2
Farnborough
Page 1 of 6

Basingstoke

(Away)
29 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 1
Basingstoke
26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0
Basingstoke
19 Sept
Basingstoke
1 : 1
Gosport Borough
12 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1
Basingstoke
08 Sept
AFC Stoneham
1 : 0
Basingstoke
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 10 7 0 3 17:12 21
2 Plymouth Parkway 9 6 2 1 23:8 20
3 Uxbridge 9 6 2 1 19:8 20
4 Hanworth Villa 9 6 1 2 17:8 19
5 Bath City 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
6 Frome Town 10 4 3 3 17:13 15
7 Chertsey Town 9 4 2 3 20:15 14
8 Taunton Town 9 4 1 4 23:22 13
9 Chichester City 9 4 1 4 14:16 13
10 Evesham 9 4 1 4 14:17 13
11 Berkhamsted Town 10 4 1 5 11:14 13
12 Wimborne 8 3 3 2 10:4 12
13 Gosport Borough 10 3 3 4 13:13 12
14 Yate 9 3 3 3 13:18 12
15 Bracknell Town 9 3 2 4 11:18 11
16 Sholing 8 3 1 4 9:12 10
17 Basingstoke 9 2 3 4 14:16 9
18 Hanwell Town 8 1 4 3 7:10 7
19 Gloucester City 9 1 4 4 12:17 7
20 Chippenham Town 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
21 Havant & Waterlooville 9 1 2 6 9:16 5
22 Malvern Town 9 1 2 6 13:25 5
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
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