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Uxbridge vs Evesham

England England

Southern League Premier South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Churchley K.
21' Event
Moore G.
25' Event
Wright A.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 game between Uxbridge and Evesham finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Uxbridge
30%
Draws
39%
Evesham
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Evesham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Uxbridge come out ahead of Evesham on wins alone.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Uxbridge Clean Sheet 20%
Evesham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uxbridge Evesham
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.64 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Uxbridge vs Evesham
2:2
Oct 25, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Evesham vs Uxbridge
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uxbridge Compare

Top Goalscorer Moore G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lee J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Evesham Compare

Top Goalscorer Churchley K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wright A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uxbridge 31 / 100
Evesham 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uxbridge Evesham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UXB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uxbridge's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Evesham let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Uxbridge stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uxbridge VS Evesham
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uxbridge

(Home)
08 Aug
Uxbridge
2 : 0
Chippenham Town
25 Apr
Uxbridge
3 : 3
Poole Town
18 Apr
Walton & Hersham
1 : 1
Uxbridge
11 Apr
Taunton Town
2 : 1
Uxbridge
06 Apr
Uxbridge
2 : 0
Hanwell Town
Page 1 of 6

Evesham

(Away)
08 Aug
Basingstoke
2 : 4
Evesham
31 Jul
Evesham
1 : 1
Bishops Cleeve
18 Jul
Evesham
0 : 3
Cheltenham
14 Jul
Evesham
1 : 0
Worcester
11 Jul
Evesham
2 : 0
Caerau Ely
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Walton & Hersham 42 29 5 8 94:42 92
2 Farnham 42 25 9 8 90:50 84
3 Gloucester City 42 25 7 10 93:51 82
4 Poole Town 42 21 12 9 80:50 75
5 Berkhamsted Town 42 21 9 12 62:50 72
6 Sholing 42 18 15 9 74:53 69
7 Chertsey Town 42 19 10 13 64:55 67
8 Gosport Borough 42 19 6 17 74:75 63
9 Uxbridge 42 15 14 13 74:70 59
10 Havant & Waterlooville 42 17 7 18 78:70 58
11 Plymouth Parkway 42 16 8 18 64:79 56
12 Bracknell Town 42 15 10 17 70:71 55
13 Yate 42 14 10 18 57:62 52
14 Hanwell Town 42 14 10 18 57:63 52
15 Wimborne 42 12 15 15 63:62 51
16 Taunton Town 42 14 9 19 65:70 51
17 Basingstoke 42 14 9 19 61:71 51
18 Evesham 42 11 14 17 51:62 47
19 Weymouth 42 13 8 21 53:71 47
20 Dorchester 42 9 13 20 48:79 40
21 Hungerford 42 9 11 22 47:87 38
22 Tiverton 42 5 3 34 39:115 18
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)