Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uzbekistan U16 vs Japan U16

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uzbekistan U16 play Japan U16 in the Friendly International 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Uzbekistan U16 averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. Japan U16 averaged 1.76 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. In past meetings, Uzbekistan U16 won 3, Japan U16 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 16, 2024 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Uzbekistan U16 and 1.21 for Japan U16. This points to a Uzbekistan U16 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Uzbekistan U16
18%
Draws
40%
Japan U16
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Uzbekistan U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Uzbekistan U16 picked up more points recently compared to Japan U16.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.21 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Uzbekistan U16 Clean Sheet 20%
Japan U16 Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uzbekistan U16 Japan U16
Matches Played 27 34
Wins 9 15
Draws 6 3
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.22 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.29 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2024 Friendly International
Uzbekistan U16 vs Japan U16
1:1
Aug 25, 2022 Friendly International
Uzbekistan U16 vs Japan U16
3:0
Oct 6, 2012 AFC Championship U16
Uzbekistan U16 vs Japan U16
2:1
May 30, 2012 Friendly International
Japan U16 vs Uzbekistan U16
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uzbekistan U16 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Japan U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Asada T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uzbekistan U16 42 / 100
Japan U16 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uzbekistan U16 Japan U16

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Uzbekistan U16 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Uzbekistan U16 attacking → ← attacking Japan U16

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uzbekistan U16 scored in 67% of their last 27 games.

Japan U16 let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Uzbekistan U16 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Japan U16 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 48
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.29 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00