Sport Picks

World

Friendly International National Football Centre

Japan U19

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Uzbekistan U19 play Japan U19 in the Friendly International. It looks like a close match. Recently, Uzbekistan U19 averaged 1.74 goals scored and 0.96 conceded. Japan U19 averaged 1.79 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. In past meetings, Uzbekistan U19 won 1, Japan U19 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 30, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Uzbekistan U19 and 1.63 for Japan U19. This points to a Uzbekistan U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%

Uzbekistan U19

15%

Draws

31%

Japan U19

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uzbekistan U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Uzbekistan U19 picked up more points recently compared to Japan U19.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Uzbekistan U19 Clean Sheet 14%

Japan U19 Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Uzbekistan U19	Japan U19
Matches Played	27	29
Wins	14	10
Draws	6	1
Losses	7	18
Goals Scored	1.74	1.79
Goals Conceded	0.96	1.79
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2026 Friendly International

Uzbekistan U19 vs Japan U19

Possession: 52% - 42% Cards: 4 - 3

2:1

Mar 25, 2026 Friendly International

Uzbekistan U19 vs Japan U19

Possession: 53% - 53% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uzbekistan U19 51 / 100

Japan U19 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Uzbekistan U19 Japan U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uzbekistan U19 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Uzbekistan U19 & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.2%

2.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Uzbekistan U19 attacking → ← attacking Japan U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uzbekistan U19 scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Japan U19 let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Uzbekistan U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Japan U19 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 31

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50