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Asia

AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 Shenzhen Youth Football Training Base - Artificial grass

Uzbekistan U20

1 - 2

Iran U20

Our Tip

Match Events

22'

Hassani A.

25'

Mazraeh Y.

46'

Sub

Hobobati S. In: Dindari M.

Out: Hobobati S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 game between Uzbekistan U20 and Iran U20 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Iran U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Uzbekistan U20

30%

Draws

34%

Iran U20

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Uzbekistan U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Iran U20 come out ahead of Uzbekistan U20 on wins alone.
36% — that's where the model lands on Uzbekistan U20 taking it.
Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%

Uzbekistan U20 Clean Sheet 13%

Iran U20 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Uzbekistan U20	Iran U20
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	16	17
Draws	7	2
Losses	9	11
Goals Scored	1.38	2.14
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.43
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	2.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Friendly International

Iran U20 vs Uzbekistan U20

Possession: 50% - 43% Cards: 2 - 4

0:0

Feb 19, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U20

Uzbekistan U20 vs Iran U20

Possession: 47% - 45% Cards: 3 - 4

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uzbekistan U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Urinboev M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Iran U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazraeh Y.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.95

Avg xA / game 1.19

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uzbekistan U20 35 / 100

Iran U20 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Uzbekistan U20 Iran U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uzbekistan U20 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Uzbekistan U20's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Iran U20 conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Uzbekistan U20 VS Iran U20

1.38 Goals Scored 2.14

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.43

63% Over 1.5 71%

50% Over 2.5 57%

25% Over 3.5 14%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Australia U20	3	3	0	10:3	9
2	China U20	3	2	1	8:5	6
3	Qatar U20	3	1	2	6:5	3
4	Kyrgyzstan U20	3	0	3	3:14	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Saudi Arabia U20	3	2	0	1	3:2	6
2	Iraq U20	3	1	2	0	2:1	5
3	Jordan U20	3	1	1	1	2:2	4
4	North Korea U20	3	0	1	2	3:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Iran U20	3	3	0	0	11:1	9
2	Uzbekistan U20	3	2	0	1	5:3	6
3	Indonesia U20	3	0	1	2	1:6	1
4	Yemen U20	3	0	1	2	0:7	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Korea U20	3	2	1	0	7:3	7
2	Japan U20	3	1	2	0	6:3	5
3	Syria U20	3	0	2	1	5:6	2
4	Thailand U20	3	0	1	2	3:9	1