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Uzbekistan U21 vs Russia U21 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2025 Istiqlol Stadium, Fergana
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Koltakov A.
41'
Churilov V.
44' Event
Dorofeev K.

AI Match Summary

Russia U21 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Russia U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Uzbekistan U21
15%
Draws
78%
Russia U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Russia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Russia U21 have won more games recently than Uzbekistan U21.
  • Win probability leans Russia U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Russia U21 here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Uzbekistan U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Russia U21 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uzbekistan U21 Russia U21
Matches Played 18 29
Wins 6 20
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.06 2.66
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2025 Friendly International
Uzbekistan U21 vs Russia U21
3:6
Jun 5, 2025 Friendly International
Uzbekistan U21 vs Russia U21
0:3
Sep 11, 2023 Friendly International
Uzbekistan U21 vs Russia U21
0:2
May 27, 2017 Friendly International
Uzbekistan U21 vs Russia U21
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uzbekistan U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.45

Russia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dorofeev K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shamonin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uzbekistan U21 10 / 100
Russia U21 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uzbekistan U21 Russia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Russia U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.25 goals when they meet.

Russia U21 has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Uzbekistan U21 scored in 56% of their last 18 games.

Uzbekistan U21 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Uzbekistan U21 VS Russia U21
0.67 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uzbekistan U21

(Home)
30 Dec
Qatar U23
2 : 1
Uzbekistan U21
27 Dec
Uzbekistan U21
0 : 0
Jordan U23
08 Jun
Uzbekistan U21
3 : 6
Russia U21
05 Jun
Uzbekistan U21
0 : 3
Russia U21
25 Mar
Northern Ireland U21
1 : 0
Uzbekistan U21
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Russia U21

(Away)
02 Oct
Serbia U21
1 : 3
Russia U21
28 Sept
North Macedonia U21
2 : 3
Russia U21
09 Jun
Russia U21
1 : 0
Iraq U23
05 Jun
Russia U21
5 : 1
Iraq U23
30 Mar
Russia U21
1 : 2
Jordan U23
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