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Stadium Background

Uzbekistan U22 vs China U22

Asia Asia

AFC Championship U22 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uzbekistan U22 play China U22 in the AFC Championship U22 2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, Uzbekistan U22 averaged 1 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. China U22 averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.92 conceded. In past meetings, Uzbekistan U22 won 1, China U22 won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Nov 18, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.79 for Uzbekistan U22 and 0.85 for China U22. This points to a China U22 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Uzbekistan U22
35%
Draws
33%
China U22
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: China U22

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Uzbekistan U22 picked up more points recently compared to China U22.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.79 vs 0.85 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Uzbekistan U22 Clean Sheet 25%
China U22 Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uzbekistan U22 China U22
Matches Played 13 24
Wins 4 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 0.33 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.83 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 Friendly International
China U22 vs Uzbekistan U22
0:0
Mar 20, 2025 Friendly International
China U22 vs Uzbekistan U22
0:0
Jan 12, 2014 AFC Asian Cup U23
Uzbekistan U22 vs China U22
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uzbekistan U22 34 / 100
China U22 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uzbekistan U22 China U22

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: China U22 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Uzbekistan U22 attacking → ← attacking China U22

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uzbekistan U22 scored in 62% of their last 13 games.

China U22 let in goals in 67% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Uzbekistan U22 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

China U22 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 34
0.33 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.83 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jordan U2232108:27
2South Korea U2232106:17
3Oman U2231024:33
4Myanmar U2230031:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Syria U2232103:17
2United Arab Emirates U2231202:15
3North Korea U2231113:24
4Yemen U2230031:50
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Australia U2232012:46
2Japan U2231207:35
3Iran U2231116:54
4Kuwait U2230121:41
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Iraq U2233006:29
2Saudi Arabia U2232014:46
3Uzbekistan U2231023:43
4China U2230032:50